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Tipo de cambio flexible y fijación de metas inflacionarias en Chile: experiencia y aspectos resaltantes

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Author Info
José De Gregorio
Andrea Tokman
Rodrigo Valdés

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Abstract

(Disponible en idioma inglés) Los primeros cinco años del régimen de tipo de cambio flexible y la fijación de metas inflacionarias en Chile han arrojado resultados positivos. La inflación está controlada, el tipo de cambio ha evolucionado a la par de las condiciones externas, la política monetaria ha sido de tipo anticíclico y todo indica que el ciclo se ha suavizado. Aunque ha aumentado la inestabilidad del tipo de cambio, tal como cabría anticipar con un sistema flexible, lo mismo ha ocurrido en otros países de características similares. Este aumento de la inestabilidad muestra valoraciones extremas del tipo de cambio real más bajas que en el pasado y también se aprecia en otros países con sistemas cambiarios distintos. Avances importantes en la profundización del mercado de derivados, así como una menor transmisión del tipo de cambio a la inflación, han contribuido a mejorar la credibilidad y la viabilidad del actual marco de políticas, al tiempo que se minimizan los costos potenciales derivados de ese marco.

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Paper provided by Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department in its series RES Working Papers with number 4428.

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Date of creation: Aug 2005
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Handle: RePEc:idb:wpaper:4428

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  1. Matías Tapia & Andrea Tokman, 2004. "Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention Under Public Information: the Chilean Case," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 255, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  2. De Gregorio, Jose & Edwards, Sebastian & Valdes, Rodrigo O., 2000. "Controls on capital inflows: do they work?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 59-83, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. D. Jansen & J. de Haan, 2003. "Statements of ECB Officials and their Effect on the Level and Volatility of the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate," WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) 726, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-76, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Bondonio, Daniele, 2002. "Evaluating the Employment Impact of Business Incentive Programs in EU Disadvantaged Areas. A case from Northern Italy," P.O.L.I.S. department's Working Papers 27, Department of Public Policy and Public Choice - POLIS. [Downloadable!]
  6. Jose De Gregorio & Andrea Tokman R., 2004. "Overcoming Fear of Floating: Exchange Rate Policies in Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 302, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  7. Reinhart, Carmen & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2004. "The modern history of exchange rate arrangements: A reinterpretation," MPRA Paper 14070, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. César Calderón, 2004. "Un Análisis del Comportamiento del Tipo de Cambio Real en Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 266, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Kevin Cowan & Jose De Gregorio, 2005. "International Borrowing, Capital Controls and the Exchange Rate: Lessons from Chile," NBER Working Papers 11382, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  10. Kenneth Rogoff & M. Ayhan Kose & Eswar Prasad & Shang-Jin Wei, 2004. "Effects on Financial Globalization on Developing Countries: Some Empirical Evidence," IMF Occasional Papers 220, International Monetary Fund.
  11. Rasmus Fatum & Michael M. Hutchison, . "Is Foreign Exchange Market Intervention an Alternative to Monetary Policy? Evidence from Japan," EPRU Working Paper Series 02-11, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  12. Jose Manuel Campa & Linda S. Goldberg, 2002. "Exchange rate pass-through into import prices: a macro or micro phenomenon?," Staff Reports 149, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Joseph E. Gagnon & Jane Ihrig, 2001. "Monetary policy and exchange rate pass-through," International Finance Discussion Papers 704, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  14. Rodrigo Fuentes & Alejandro Jara & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Matías Tapia & Erika Arraño, 2003. "Efectos de la Nominalización de la Política Monetaria en Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 197, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  15. Eichengreen, B. & Masson, P. & Savastano, M. & Sharma, S., 1999. "Transition Strategies and Nominal Anchors on the Road to Greater Exchange-Rate Flexibility," Princeton Essays in International Economics 213, International Economics Section, Departement of Economics Princeton University,.
  16. Dalia Hakura & Ehsan U. Choudhri, 2001. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices: Does the Inflationary Environment Matter?," IMF Working Papers 01/194, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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