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Multiperiod Production with Forward and Options Markets

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Author Info
Sergio H. Lence
Yong Sakong
Dermot J. Hayes () (Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD), Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI))

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Abstract

Production and hedging in both forward and options markets are analyzed for forward-looking firms that maximize expected utility. In the presence of unbiased forward and options prices, it is shown that such firms will use options as hedging instruments. This result contrasts with the conclusions from studies that assume myopic behavior, and occurs because forward looking agents care about the effect of future output prices on profits from future production cycles. Simulations support the theoretical results and show how the introduction of an options market influences the optimal forward position.

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File URL: http://www.card.iastate.edu/publications/DBS/PDFFiles/93wp112.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University in its series Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications with number 93-wp112.

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Date of creation: Aug 1993
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Handle: RePEc:ias:cpaper:93-wp112

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Anderson, Ronald W & Danthine, Jean-Pierre, 1980. " Hedging and Joint Production: Theory and Illustrations," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(2), pages 487-98, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Kerkvliet, Joe & Moffett, Michael H., 1991. "The Hedging of an Uncertain Future Foreign Currency Cash Flow," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(04), pages 565-578, December. [Downloadable!]
  3. Feder, Gershon & Just, Richard E & Schmitz, Andrew, 1980. "Futures Markets and the Theory of the Firm under Price Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 94(2), pages 317-28, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Holthausen, Duncan M, 1979. "Hedging and the Competitive Firm under Price Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(5), pages 989-95, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Smith, Clifford W. & Stulz, Ren? M., 1985. "The Determinants of Firms' Hedging Policies," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(04), pages 391-405, December. [Downloadable!]
  6. Anderson, Ronald W & Danthine, Jean-Pierre, 1983. "The Time Pattern of Hedging and the Volatility of Futures Prices," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(2), pages 249-66, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Sakong, Yong & Hayes, Dermot J. & Hallam, Arne, 1993. "Hedging Production Risk with Options," Staff General Research Papers 559, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  8. Karp, Larry S, 1986. "Methods for selecting the optimal dynamic hedge when production is stochastic," CUDARE Working Paper Series 405, University of California at Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Policy.
  9. Hey, John D, 1987. "The Dynamic Competitive Firm under Spot Price Uncertainty," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(1), pages 1-12, March.
  10. Lapan, Harvey E. & Moschini, Giancarlo & Hanson, Steve, 2003. "Production Hedging and Speculative Decisions with Options and Future Markets," Staff General Research Papers 10810, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  11. Losq, Etienne, 1982. "Hedging with price and output uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 10(1-2), pages 65-70. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Axel F. A. Adam-Müller & Kit Pong Wong, 2002. "Restricted Export Flexibility and Risk Management with Options and Futures," CoFE Discussion Paper 02-07, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz. [Downloadable!]
  2. Tomek, William G. & Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa, 2000. "Risk Management In Agricultural Markets: A Survey," 2000 Producer marketing and Risk Management Conference, January 13-14, Orlando, FL 19580, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association). [Downloadable!]
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