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A spatial econometric analysis of geographic spillovers and growth for European regions, 1980-1995

Author

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  • Catherine Baumont

    (LATEC - Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Techniques Economiques [UMR 5118] - UB - Université de Bourgogne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Cem Ertur

    (LATEC - Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Techniques Economiques [UMR 5118] - UB - Université de Bourgogne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Julie Le Gallo

    (LATEC - Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Techniques Economiques [UMR 5118] - UB - Université de Bourgogne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to consider the geographical dimension of data in the estimation of the convergence of European regions and to emphasize geographic spillovers in regional economic growth phenomena. In a sample of 138 European regions over the 1980-1995 period, we show that the unconditional /? -convergence model is misspecified due to spatially autocorrelated errors. Its estimation by Ordinary Least Squares leads to inefficient estimators and invalid statistical inference. Using spatial econometric methods and a distance based weight matrix we then estimate an alternative specification, which takes into account the spatial autocorrelation detected and leads to reliable statistical inference. Moreover this specification allows us to highlight a geographic spillover effect: the mean growth rate of a region is positively influenced by those of neighboring regions. We finally show by a simulation experiment that a random shock affecting a given region propagates to all the regions of the sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Catherine Baumont & Cem Ertur & Julie Le Gallo, 2001. "A spatial econometric analysis of geographic spillovers and growth for European regions, 1980-1995," Working Papers hal-01526858, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01526858
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    Keywords

    economic theory; management; management economics; economics; gestion; économie;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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