Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Une politique budgétaire keynésienne neutralisant les stabilisateurs automatiques en haut de cycle : le cas de la France en 2000-2001

Contents:

Author Info

  • Frédéric Gonand

    (CECO - Laboratoire d'econometrie de l'école polytechnique - CNRS : UMR7657 - Polytechnique - X)

Abstract

Cette étude présente une méthode empirique simple permettant d'évaluer l'impact des finances publiques sur la croissance à court terme, et plus précisément : a) l'impulsion discrétionnaire des finances publiques avant bouclage macroéconomique ; b) l'impact sur la croissance de l'impulsion discrétionnaire après bouclage et c) l'impact sur la croissance de l'ensemble des finances publiques (stabilisateurs automatiques inclus) après bouclage. L'application de cette méthode à la politique budgétaire française durant la législature 1997-2002 suggère deux résultats : a) l'effet multiplicateur agrégé des finances publiques françaises est probablement inférieur à 1, ce qui tend à valider une des propositions théoriques du modèle d'équivalence néo-ricardienne ; b) la politique budgétaire française massivement pro-cyclique lors de la phase haute de cycle en 2000-2001 a complètement neutralisé l'effet modérateur des stabilisateurs automatiques. Elle a ainsi rendu impossibles tant un retour à l'équilibre des comptes publics en période faste que toute possibilité de relance ultérieure une fois le ralentissement cyclique avéré à la fin de l'année 2001.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/docs/00/24/30/38/PDF/2006-10-30-1521.pdf
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by HAL in its series Working Papers with number hal-00243038.

as in new window
Length:
Date of creation: 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00243038

Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00243038/en/
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/

Related research

Keywords:

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:

References

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
as in new window
  1. Garry J. Schinasi & Mark Scott Lutz, 1991. "Fiscal Impulse," IMF Working Papers 91/91, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Barro, Robert J., 1974. "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?," Scholarly Articles 3451399, Harvard University Department of Economics.
  3. Frédéric Gonand, 2005. "Effect on potential growth of non-sustainable public debt dynamics: an application to France," Working Papers hal-00242973, HAL.
  4. Olivier Jean Blanchard, 1990. "Suggestions for a New Set of Fiscal Indicators," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 79, OECD Publishing.
  5. Boris Cournède & Frédéric Gonand, 2006. "Restoring Fiscal Sustainability in the Euro Area: Raise Taxes or Curb Spending?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 520, OECD Publishing.
  6. Olivier J. Blanchard, 1984. "Debt, Deficits and Finite Horizons," NBER Working Papers 1389, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Barsky, Robert B & Mankiw, N Gregory & Zeldes, Stephen P, 1986. "Ricardian Consumers with Keynesian Propensities," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(4), pages 676-91, September.
  8. Sheetal K. Chand, 1992. "Fiscal Impulses and their Fiscal Impact," IMF Working Papers 92/38, International Monetary Fund.
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

Citations

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00243038. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (CCSD).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.