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Profits, Confidence and public deficits: modeling Minsky's institutional dynamics

Author

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  • Eric Nasica

    (GREDEG - Groupe de Recherche en Droit, Economie et Gestion - UNS - Université Nice Sophia Antipolis (1965 - 2019) - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Alain Raybaut

    (GREDEG - Groupe de Recherche en Droit, Economie et Gestion - UNS - Université Nice Sophia Antipolis (1965 - 2019) - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to present a "Minskian" model which explicitly deals with the influence of the institutional dynamics on the relation between finance, investment and economic fluctuations. First, the Minskian foundations of the proposed analytical framework are highlighted. Second the dynamical properties of the model are studied, drawing the inferences of a stabilization policy. It is shown that the economy is unstable when the budget policy is not very sensitive to variations in private investment. On the contrary, when, the counter cyclical deficit constraint is flexible enough, the economy is stabilized. These results, that echo recent debates and proposals on budget deficits rules in the EMU, are fully consistent with the way Minsky considers that public authorities may "stabilize an unstable economy".

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Nasica & Alain Raybaut, 2005. "Profits, Confidence and public deficits: modeling Minsky's institutional dynamics," Post-Print halshs-00465827, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00465827
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00465827
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    Cited by:

    1. Sébastien Charles, 2008. "Teaching Minsky's financial instability hypothesis: a manageable suggestion," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 125-138, September.
    2. Charles, Sébastien & Dallery, Thomas, 2013. "Le Canada et l’austérité expansionniste dans les années quatre-vingt-dix : un « succès » macroéconomique à revisiter ?," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 89(3), pages 207-230, Septembre.
    3. Reissl, Severin, 2020. "Minsky from the bottom up – Formalising the two-price model of investment in a simple agent-based framework," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 109-142.
    4. Ryoo, Soon, 2010. "Long waves and short cycles in a model of endogenous financial fragility," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 74(3), pages 163-186, June.
    5. Hideyuki Adachi & Atsushi Miyake, 2015. "A Macrodynamic Analysis of Financial Instability," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Hideyuki Adachi & Tamotsu Nakamura & Yasuyuki Osumi (ed.), Studies in Medium-Run Macroeconomics Growth, Fluctuations, Unemployment, Inequality and Policies, chapter 5, pages 117-146, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Chiarella Carl & Di Guilmi Corrado, 2012. "The Fiscal Cost of Financial Instability," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(4), pages 1-29, October.
    7. Eleonora Cavallaro & Bernardo Maggi, 2016. "State of confidence, overborrowing and the macroeconomic stabilization puzzle: a system dynamic approach," Working Papers in Public Economics 174, University of Rome La Sapienza, Department of Economics and Law.
    8. Cavallaro, Eleonora & Maggi, Bernardo, 2016. "State of confidence, overborrowing and macroeconomic stabilization in out-of-equilibrium dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 210-223.

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