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Démographie et fluctuations économiques

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  • Hippolyte D'Albis

    ()
    (GREMAQ - Groupe de recherche en économie mathématique et quantitative - CNRS : UMR5604 - Université des Sciences Sociales - Toulouse I - Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales (EHESS) - INRA : UMR)

  • Emmanuelle Augeraud-Véron

    ()
    (MIA - Mathématiques, Image et Applications - Université de La Rochelle : EA3165)

  • Marie Bessec

    (CGEMP - Université Paris IX Dauphine)

Abstract

Cet article montre qu'un modèle néo-classique, aux hypothèses habituelles mais pourvu d'une structure par âge de la population explicite, converge vers son sentier de croissance équilibré avec des oscillations amorties. Il reproduit ainsi un processus de retour à la moyenne avec fluctuations de court terme que l'on observe dans les séries de produit intérieur brut de la plupart des pays de l'OCDE.

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File URL: http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/docs/00/63/02/46/PDF/04re-albis-augeraud-bessec.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number hal-00630246.

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Date of creation: 2004
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Publication status: Published, Revue Economique, 2004, 55, 3, 429-437
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00630246

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  1. Blanchard, Olivier J, 1985. "Debt, Deficits, and Finite Horizons," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 93(2), pages 223-47, April.
  2. Rebelo, Sergio, 1991. "Long-Run Policy Analysis and Long-Run Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(3), pages 500-521, June.
  3. Raouf Boucekkine & David de la Croix & Omar Licandro, . "vintage human capital, demographic trends and endogenous growth," Working Papers 2000-02, FEDEA.
  4. Costas Azariadis & James Bullard & Lee Ohanian, 2001. "Trend-reverting fluctuations in the life-cycle model," Working Papers 1998-015, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  5. Weil, Philippe, 1989. "Overlapping families of infinitely-lived agents," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 183-198, March.
  6. Burke, Jonathan L., 1990. "A benchmark for comparative dynamics and determinacy in overlapping-generations economies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 268-303, December.
  7. Kehoe, Timothy J. & Levine, David K. & Mas-Colell, Andreu & Woodford, Michael, 1991. "Gross substitutability in large-square economies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 1-25, June.
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