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La croissance démographique dans les modèles à générations imbriquées

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  • Hippolyte D'Albis

    ()
    (EUREQUA - Equipe Universitaire de Recherche en Economie Quantitative - CNRS : UMR8594 - Université Paris I - Panthéon-Sorbonne)

Abstract

Dans cet article, nous proposons un modèle à générations imbriquées en temps continu pour étudier la relation entre le taux de croissance de la population et le taux d'intérêt. Nous montrons qu'il existe un taux de croissance fini de la population qui minimise le taux d'intérêt. Ceci implique que la relation entre ces deux variables n'est pas monotone. Nous proposons une caractérisation théorique du taux de croissance minimisant le taux d'intérêt et expliquons pourquoi les modèles à générations imbriquées standards de Diamond [1965] et Blanchard [1985] conduisent à une relation systématiquement croissante entre le taux de croissance de la population et le taux d'intérêt.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) with number hal-00630245.

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Date of creation: 2003
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Publication status: Published, Revue Economique, 2003, 54, 3, 573-582
Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-00630245

Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00630245
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  1. Raouf Boucekkine & David de la Croix & Omar Licandro, . "vintage human capital, demographic trends and endogenous growth," Working Papers 2000-02, FEDEA.
  2. Blanchard, Olivier J, 1985. "Debt, Deficits, and Finite Horizons," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 93(2), pages 223-47, April.
  3. Andrew B. Abel, 2003. "The Effects of a Baby Boom on Stock Prices and Capital Accumulation in the Presence of Social Security," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 551-578, March.
  4. Willem H. Buiter, 1986. "Death, Population Growth, Productivity Growth and Debt Neutrality," NBER Working Papers 2027, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Burke, Jonathan L., 1996. "Equilibrium for Overlapping Generations in Continuous Time," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 70(2), pages 364-390, August.
  6. Antoine Bommier & Ronald D. Lee, 2003. "Overlapping generations models with realistic demography," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 135-160, 02.
  7. Weil, Philippe, 1989. "Overlapping families of infinitely-lived agents," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 183-198, March.
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