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Transitional Dynamics in Aggregate Models of Innovative Investment

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  • Andrew Atkeson
  • Ariel Burstein
  • Manolis Chatzikonstantinou

Abstract

What quantitative lessons can we learn from models of endogenous technical change through innovative investments by firms for the impact of changes in the economic environment on the dynamics of aggregate productivity in the short, medium, and long run? We present a unifying model that nests a number of canonical models in the literature and characterize their positive implications for the transitional dynamics of aggregate productivity and their welfare implications in terms of two sufficient statistics. We review the current state of measurement of these two sufficient statistics and discuss the range of positive and normative quantitative implications of our model for a wide array of counterfactual experiments, including the link between a decline in the entry rate of new firms and a slowdown in the growth of aggregate productivity given that measurement. We conclude with a summary of the lessons learned from our analysis to help direct future research aimed at building models of endogenous productivity growth useful for quantitative analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Atkeson & Ariel Burstein & Manolis Chatzikonstantinou, 2018. "Transitional Dynamics in Aggregate Models of Innovative Investment," Staff Report 573, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedmsr:573
    DOI: 10.21034/sr.573
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    Cited by:

    1. Yueling Cai & Gongliang Wu & Dingsheng Zhang, 2020. "Does Export Trade Promote Firm Innovation?," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 21(2), pages 483-506, November.
    2. Fatih Karahan & Benjamin Pugsley & Aysegül Sahin, 2019. "Demographic Origins of the Startup Deficit," Working Papers 19-21, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    3. Joshua C. R. Fletcher & Eric S. Howard & Albert N. Link & Alan C. O’Connor, 2023. "Knowledge-based information and the effectiveness of R&D in small firms," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 891-900, March.
    4. Rodrigo Adão & Martin Beraja & Nitya Pandalai-Nayar, 2020. "Technological Transitions with Skill Heterogeneity Across Generations," NBER Working Papers 26625, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Mohammadreza Mahmoudi, 2021. "Identifying the Main Factors of Iran's Economic Growth using Growth Accounting Framework," Papers 2109.02787, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Endogenous growth; Transitional dynamics; Innovative investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O3 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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