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Shared Destinies? Small Banks and Small Business Consolidation

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Abstract

We identify a new source of bank consolidation in the United States. For decades, both the financial and real sides of the economy have experienced considerable consolidation. We show that banking-sector consolidation is, in part, a consequence of real-sector consolidation; because small banks are a disproportionate source of small-business credit, they are disproportionately exposed to shocks to small-business growth. Using a Bartik instrument based on national small-business trends and county-level industry exposure, we show that changes to the real-side demand for small-business credit is partially responsible for the relative decline in small banks’ deposits, income, and loan growth.

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  • Claire Brennecke & Stefan Jacewitz & Jonathan Pogach, 2022. "Shared Destinies? Small Banks and Small Business Consolidation," Research Working Paper RWP 21-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedkrw:93626
    DOI: 10.18651/RWP2021-19
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consolidation; Banks and banking; Community banking; Relationship lending; Bartik instrument;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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