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A procedure for predicting recessions with leading indicators: econometric issues and recent performance Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics James H. Stock
Mark W. Watson
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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in its series Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues with number
92-7.
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Date of creation: 1992Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhma:92-7Contact details of provider: Postal: P.O. Box 834, 230 South LaSalle Street, Chicago, Illinois 60690-0834 Phone: 312/322-5111 Fax: 312/322-5515 Email: Web page: http://www.chicagofed.org/ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Forecasting ; Economic indicators ; Business cycles ; Recessions ; Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Arturo Estrella & Frederic S. Mishkin, 1999.
"Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators ,"
NBER Working Papers
5379, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Arturo Estrella & Frederic S. Mishkin, 1998.
"The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Its Role in Monetary Policy for The European Central Bank ,"
NBER Working Papers
5279, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Christopher Otrok & Charles H. Whiteman, 1996.
"Baynesian Leading Indicators: Measuring and Predicting Economic Conditions ,"
Macroeconomics
9610002, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Carmela Cappelli, 2004.
"Investigating the structure of expansions and recessions in US business cycle: a modified recursive partitioning approach ,"
Economics Bulletin ,
Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(48), pages 1-9.
[Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-10.
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