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A procedure for predicting recessions with leading indicators: econometric issues and recent performance

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Author Info
James H. Stock
Mark W. Watson

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Abstract

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in its series Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues with number 92-7.

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Date of creation: 1992
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhma:92-7

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Related research
Keywords: Forecasting ; Economic indicators ; Business cycles ; Recessions;

Cited by:
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  1. Arturo Estrella & Frederic S. Mishkin, 1999. "Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators," NBER Working Papers 5379, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Arturo Estrella & Frederic S. Mishkin, 1998. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Its Role in Monetary Policy for The European Central Bank," NBER Working Papers 5279, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Christopher Otrok & Charles H. Whiteman, 1996. "Baynesian Leading Indicators: Measuring and Predicting Economic Conditions," Macroeconomics 9610002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  4. Carmela Cappelli, 2004. "Investigating the structure of expansions and recessions in US business cycle: a modified recursive partitioning approach," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(48), pages 1-9. [Downloadable!]
Statistics
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-10.


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