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The modern theory of forward foreign exchange: some new consistent estimates under rational expectations

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  • Thomas C. Glaessner
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    File URL: http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/ifdp/1982/206/ifdp206.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) in its series International Finance Discussion Papers with number 206.

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    Date of creation: 1982
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    Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgif:206

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    Keywords: Rational expectations (Economic theory);

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    1. Driskill, Robert & McCafferty, Stephen, 1982. "Spot and forward rates in a stochastic model of the foreign exchange market," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3-4), pages 313-331, May.
    2. Hans R. Stoll, 1968. "An Empirical Study of the Forward Exchange Market under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rate Systems," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 1(1), pages 55-78, February.
    3. Richard D. Haas, 1974. "More Evidence on the Role of Speculation in the Canadian Forward Exchange Market," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 7(3), pages 496-501, August.
    4. Dooley, Michael P & Isard, Peter, 1980. "Capital Controls, Political Risk, and Deviations from Interest-Rate Parity," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(2), pages 370-84, April.
    5. Maurice Obstfeld & Robert E. Cumby & John Huizinga, 1983. "Two-Step Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation in Models with Rational Expectations," NBER Technical Working Papers 0011, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J. Sargent, 1979. "Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models," Working Papers 127, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    7. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    8. Callier, Philippe, 1981. "Speculation, interest arbitrage, and the forward foreign exchange rate of the Canadian dollar: Updated evidence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 293-299.
    9. Hansen, Lars Peter & Hodrick, Robert J, 1980. "Forward Exchange Rates as Optimal Predictors of Future Spot Rates: An Econometric Analysis," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(5), pages 829-53, October.
    10. Callier, Philippe, 1980. " Speculation and the Forward Foreign Exchange Rate: A Note," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(1), pages 173-76, March.
    11. Fair, Ray C, 1970. "The Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models with Lagged Endogenous Variables and First Order Serially Correlated Errors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(3), pages 507-16, May.
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