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Reconstructing and stress testing credit networks

Author

Listed:
  • Ramadiah, Amanah
  • Caccioli, Fabio
  • Fricke, Daniel

Abstract

Financial networks are an important source of systemic risk, but often only partial network information is available. In this paper, we use data on bank-firm credit relationships in Japan and conduct a horse race between different network reconstruction methods in terms of their ability to reproduce the actual credit networks. We then compare the different reconstruction methods in terms of their implied systemic risk levels. In most instances we find that the observed credit network significantly displays the highest systemic risk level. Lastly, we explore different policies to improve the robustness of the system.

Suggested Citation

  • Ramadiah, Amanah & Caccioli, Fabio & Fricke, Daniel, 2019. "Reconstructing and stress testing credit networks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118938, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:118938
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    File URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/118938/
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    network reconstruction; stress testing; systemic risk; bipartite credit network; aggregation level;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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