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Avian influenza transmission risk along live poultry trading networks in Bangladesh

Author

Listed:
  • Moyen, Natalie
  • Hoque, Md Ahasanul
  • Mahmud, Rashed
  • Hasan, Mahmudul
  • Sarkar, Sudipta
  • Biswas, Paritosh Kumar
  • Mehedi, Hossain
  • Henning, Joerg
  • Mangtani, Punam
  • Flora, Meerjady Sabrina
  • Rahman, Mahmudur
  • Debnath, Nitish C.
  • Giasuddin, Mohammad
  • Barnett, Tony
  • Pfeiffer, Dirk U.
  • Fournié, Guillaume

Abstract

Live animal markets are known hotspots of zoonotic disease emergence. To mitigate those risks, we need to understand how networks shaped by trading practices influence disease spread. Yet, those practices are rarely recorded in high-risk settings. Through a large cross-sectional study, we assessed the potential impact of live poultry trading networks’ structures on avian influenza transmission dynamics in Bangladesh. Networks promoted mixing between chickens sourced from different farming systems and geographical locations, fostering co-circulation of viral strains of diverse origins in markets. Viral transmission models suggested that the observed rise in viral prevalence from farms to markets was unlikely explained by intra-market transmission alone, but substantially influenced by transmission occurring in upstream network nodes. Disease control interventions should therefore alter the entire network structures. However, as networks differed between chicken types and city supplied, standardised interventions are unlikely to be effective, and should be tailored to local structural characteristics.

Suggested Citation

  • Moyen, Natalie & Hoque, Md Ahasanul & Mahmud, Rashed & Hasan, Mahmudul & Sarkar, Sudipta & Biswas, Paritosh Kumar & Mehedi, Hossain & Henning, Joerg & Mangtani, Punam & Flora, Meerjady Sabrina & Rahma, 2021. "Avian influenza transmission risk along live poultry trading networks in Bangladesh," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112514, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:112514
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Guillaume Fournié & Javier Guitian & Stéphanie Desvaux & Punam Mangtani & Sowath Ly & Vu Chi Cong & Sorn San & Do Huu Dung & Davun Holl & Dirk U Pfeiffer & Sirenda Vong & Azra C Ghani, 2012. "Identifying Live Bird Markets with the Potential to Act as Reservoirs of Avian Influenza A (H5N1) Virus: A Survey in Northern Viet Nam and Cambodia," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(6), pages 1-9, June.
    2. Mottaleb, Khondoker Abdul & Mishra, Ashok K., 2016. "Rice Consumption And Grain-Type Preference By Household: A Bangladesh Case," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(3), pages 298-319, August.
    3. Kankesu Jayanthakumaran & Reetu Verma & Guanghua Wan & Edgar Wilson (ed.), 2019. "Internal Migration, Urbanization and Poverty in Asia: Dynamics and Interrelationships," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-981-13-1537-4, September.
    4. Bonwitt, Jesse & Dawson, Michael & Kandeh, Martin & Ansumana, Rashid & Sahr, Foday & Brown, Hannah & Kelly, Ann H., 2018. "Unintended consequences of the ‘bushmeat ban’ in West Africa during the 2013–2016 Ebola virus disease epidemic," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 166-173.
    5. Annemarie Bouma & Ivo Claassen & Ketut Natih & Don Klinkenberg & Christl A Donnelly & Guus Koch & Michiel van Boven, 2009. "Estimation of Transmission Parameters of H5N1 Avian Influenza Virus in Chickens," PLOS Pathogens, Public Library of Science, vol. 5(1), pages 1-13, January.
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    Keywords

    BB/S011269/1;

    JEL classification:

    • R14 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns
    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General

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