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Tendencias del sistema de comercio exterior relevantes para analizar la inserción internacional del Uruguay

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  • Lalanne, Alvaro

Abstract

Este documento realiza una revisión de algunos textos recientes que dan cuenta de tendencias en el sistema de comercio internacional relevantes para analizar el marco en el que desarrollaría la inserción internacional del Uruguay en los próximos años. En primer lugar, se repasan algunos ejercicios de prospectiva global, que indican que América del Sur no es una las regiones dónde los cambios en los patrones de integración serán más significativos en el futuro. La dinámica de la demanda de alimentos vendrá de Asia y África, y se mantendrá la tendencia a la convergencia de las dietas, con mayores incrementos en el consumo de carnes y lácteos y menores en los cereales. Desde el punto de vista de la gobernanza del sistema de comercio, varios autores vislumbran un mundo con dos sistemas coexistiendo: el comercio tradicional gobernado por las disciplinas multilaterales y el comercio de servicios y cadenas de valor gobernado por reglas establecidas en mega acuerdos plurilaterales (regionales o no), más profundos en sus compromisos y disciplinas.

Suggested Citation

  • Lalanne, Alvaro, 2019. "Tendencias del sistema de comercio exterior relevantes para analizar la inserción internacional del Uruguay," Estudios y Perspectivas – Oficina de la CEPAL en Montevideo 45020, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col032:45020
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