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Interaction between trade, conflict and cooperation : the case of Japan and China

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Author Info

  • Shiro Armstrong

    (Australia–Japan Research Centre)

Abstract

The complex interaction between trade and politics is analysed for the JapanChina relationship using Granger causality tests. The purpose is to determine the presence and direction of causation between trade and political events, both positive and negative, and to gauge an idea of the lag length of causality. Trade is growing quickly between Japan and China despite long standing political distance between the two countries. Results show that the economic relationship underpins and constrains the political relationship between Japan and China while an increase in positive political news and a decrease in negative political news promote trade to some degree.

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File URL: http://www.eaber.org/node/22766
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by East Asian Bureau of Economic Research in its series Trade Working Papers with number 22766.

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Date of creation: Jan 2010
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Handle: RePEc:eab:tradew:22766

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Postal: JG Crawford Building #13, Asia Pacific School of Economics and Government, Australian National University, ACT 0200
Web page: http://www.eaber.org
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Related research

Keywords: Conflict and Cooperation; trade; Granger Causality;

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References

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  1. Robst, John & Polachek, Solomon & Chang, Yuan-Ching, 2006. "Geographic Proximity, Trade and International Conflict/Cooperation," IZA Discussion Papers, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 1988, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  2. Polachek, Solomon W. & Seiglie, Carlos, 2007. "Trade, Peace and Democracy: An Analysis of Dyadic Dispute," Handbook of Defense Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier.
  3. Diks, C.G.H. & Panchenko, V., 2004. "A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing," CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance 04-11, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
  4. Grieco, Joseph M., 1988. "Anarchy and the limits of cooperation: a realist critique of the newest liberal institutionalism," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(03), pages 485-507, June.
  5. Gartzke, Erik & Li, Quan & Boehmer, Charles, 2001. "Investing in the Peace: Economic Interdependence and International Conflict," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(02), pages 391-438, March.
  6. Kang, Heejoon, 1985. "The Effects of Detrending in Granger Causality Tests," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 3(4), pages 344-49, October.
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Cited by:
  1. Polachek Solomon W, 2011. "Current Research and Future Directions in Peace Economics: Trade Gone Awry," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 1-14, January.

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