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Economic and Demographic Change: A Synthesis of Models, Findings, and Perspectives

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Author Info
Kelley, Allen C.
Schmidt, Robert M.
Abstract

Building upon recent Barro models that account for the impacts of various economic and political factors conditioning the pace of economic growth, we evaluate the merits of alternative specifications that expose the impacts of demographic change. For a sample of 89 countries, we arrive at the qualified judgment that rapid population growth exerted a fairly strong, adverse impact, on the pace of economic growth over the period 1960-1995. The positive impacts of density, size, and labor force entry were swamped by the costs of rearing children and maintaining an enlarged youth-dependency age structure.

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File URL: http://www.econ.duke.edu/Papers/Abstracts99/abstract.99.01.html
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Paper provided by Duke University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 99-01.

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Date of creation: 1999
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Publication status: Forthcoming in POPULATION DOES MATTER: DEMOGRAPHY, GROWTH, AND POVERTY IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD, Nancy Birdsall, Allen C. Kelley and Steven Sinding, editors, Oxford University Press, 2001.
Handle: RePEc:duk:dukeec:99-01

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
O11 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
O4 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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  1. David de la Croix & Matthias Doepke, 2001. "Inequality and Growth: Why Differential Fertility Matters," UCLA Economics Working Papers 803, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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