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The trade-induced effects of the Services Directive and the country of origin principle

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Author Info
Roland de Bruijn
Henk Kox ()
Arjan Lejour ()

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Abstract

The proposed Services Directive by the European Commission could increase intra European trade in commercial services by 30 to 60 percent. This paper analyses the welfare effects of the trade growth using an applied general equilibrium model WorldScan. It shows that GDP could be raised by 0.3 to 0.7 percent and consumption by 0.5 to 1.2 percent in the European Union as a whole. These results could only be realised if the Services Directive is implemented including the country of origin principle. If this principle is excluded from the directive, trade increases only by 20 to 40 percent. The trade-induced welfare effects are correspondingly lower. GDP could rise by 0.2 to 0.4 percent and consumption by 0.3 to 0.7 percent in the EU as a whole. The country-specific effects vary: most of the new Member States will experience larger gains than the average Member State because their services trade is now still hampered by relatively large regulatory barriers in these countries.

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Paper provided by CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis in its series CPB Documents with number 108.

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Date of creation: Feb 2006
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Handle: RePEc:cpb:docmnt:108

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Related research
Keywords: Services Directive; trade; internal market EU; country of origin principle;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies
F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
L51 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - Economics of Regulation
L8 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Paul Conway & Véronique Janod & Giuseppe Nicoletti, 2005. "Product Market Regulation in OECD Countries: 1998 to 2003," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 419, OECD, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  2. Joaquim Oliveira Martins & Stefano Scarpetta & Dirk Pilat, 1996. "Mark-Up Ratios in Manufacturing Industries: Estimates for 14 OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 162, OECD, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  3. Roland de Bruijn, 2006. "Scale Economies and Imperfect Competition in WorldScan," CPB Memoranda 140, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  4. Giuseppe Nicoletti & Stefano Scarpetta & Olivier Boylaud, 2000. "Summary Indicators of Product Market Regulation with an Extension to Employment Protection Legislation," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 226, OECD, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  5. Giuseppe Nicoletti & Steve Golub & Dana Hajkova & Daniel Mirza & Kwang-Yeol Yoo, 2003. "Policies and International Integration: Influences on Trade and Foreign Direct Investment," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 359, OECD, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  6. Henk Kox & Arjan Lejour & Raymond Montizaan, 2004. "Intra-EU trade and investment in service sectors, and regulation patterns," CPB Memoranda 102, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Giuseppe Nicoletti, 2001. "Regulation in Services: OECD Patterns and Economic Implications," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 287, OECD, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  8. Ruud de Mooij & Paul Tang, 2003. "Four Futures of Europe," CPB Special Publications 49, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  9. Nicoletti, Giuseppe & Scarpetta, Stefano, 2003. "Regulation, productivity, and growth : OECD evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2944, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Henk Kox & Arjan Lejour, 2005. "Regulatory heterogeneity as obstacle for international services trade," CPB Discussion Papers 49, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  11. Arjan M. Lejour & Ruud de Mooij & Richard Nahuis, 2001. "EU Enlargement: Economic Implications for Countries and Industries," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  12. George Gelauff & Arjan Lejour, 2006. "Five Lisbon highlights; the economic impact of reaching these targets," CPB Documents 104, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  13. Arjan Lejour, . "Quantifying four scenarios for Europe," CPB Documents 38, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  14. Jensen, Jesper & Rutherford, Thomas & Tarr, David, 2004. "The impact of liberalizing barriers to foreign direct investment in services - the case of Russian accession to the World Trade Organization," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3391, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  15. Arjan Lejour & Paul Veenendaal & Gerard Verweij & Nico van Leeuwen, 2006. "Worldscan; a model for international economic policy analysis," CPB Documents 111, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  16. Henk Kox & Arjan Lejour & Raymond Montizaan, 2004. "The free movement of services within the EU," CPB Documents 69, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Kox, Henk L.M. & Lejour, Arjan, 2006. "Dynamic effects of European services liberalisation: more to be gained," MPRA Paper 3751, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Arjan Lejour & Hugo Rojas-Romagosa & Gerard Verweij, 2007. "Opening Services Markets within Europe: Modelling Foreign Establishments in a CGE Framework," CPB Discussion Papers 80, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Nico van Leeuwen & Arjan Lejour, 2006. "Bilateral Services Trade Data and the GTAP database," CPB Memoranda 160, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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