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On the dynamics of lending and deposit interest rates in emerging markets: a non-linear approach

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  • Ana María Iregui

    ()

  • Costas Milas

    ()

  • Jesús Otero

    ()

Abstract

This paper studies the dynamics of lending and deposit rates in four emerging markets in Latin America: Argentina, Chile, Colombia and Mexico. The dynamics of interest rates exhibit a regime-switching behavior, where the transition from one regime to the other is controlled by the interest rate spread difference. The first regime, which is characterized by negative deviations of the interest rate spread relative to an estimated threshold, occurs during periods of financial liberalization. The second regime, which is characterized by positive deviations of the interest rate spread relative to the estimated threshold, occurs during periods of financial inefficiency and increasing government intervention. By capturing changing policy regimes from government intervention to a more financially liberalized environment and vice versa, the non-linear specification proves superior to the linear one. ********************************************************************** Este trabajo estudia el comportamiento dinámico de las tasas de interés de captación y colocación en cuatro mercados emergentes en Latinoamérica: Argentina, Chile, Colombia y México. La dinámica de las tasas de interés muestra un comportamiento de cambio de régimen, donde la transición de un régimen a otro, es controlada por el diferencial entre las tasas. El primer régimen, caracterizado por desviaciones negativas del diferencial entre las tasas con respecto a un umbral estimado, ocurre durante periodos de liberalización financiera. El segundo, caracterizado por desviaciones positivas, ocurre durante periodos de ineficiencia financiera y creciente intervención. La especificación no lineal resulta mejor que la lineal en la medida en que permite capturar cambios de régimen.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO in its series BORRADORES DE INVESTIGACIÓN with number 003297.

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Length: 39
Date of creation: 02 Nov 2001
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Handle: RePEc:col:000091:003297

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  1. Maria Concetta Chiuri & Giovanni Ferri & Giovanni Majnoni, 2000. "The Macroeconomic Impact Of Bank Capital Requirements In Emerging Economies: Past Evidence To Assess The Future," series 0002, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Metodi Matematici - Università di Bari, revised Sep 2000.
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  3. Scholnick, Barry, 1996. "Asymmetric adjustment of commercial bank interest rates: evidence from Malaysia and Singapore," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 485-496, June.
  4. Xavier Freixas & Jean-Charles Rochet, 1997. "Microeconomics of Banking," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262061937.
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  8. Lim, G C, 2001. "Bank Interest Rate Adjustments: Are They Asymmetric?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 77(237), pages 135-47, June.
  9. Rudiger Dornbusch & Stanley Fischer, 1993. "Moderate Inflation," NBER Working Papers 3896, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  10. Barajas, Adolfo & Steiner, Roberto & Salazar, Natalia, 2000. "The impact of liberalization and foreign investment in Colombia's financial sector," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 157-196, October.
  11. Liliana Rojas-Suárez & Steven R. Weisbrod, 1996. "Building Stability in Latin American Financial Markets," Research Department Publications 4028, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  12. repec:fth:inadeb:320 is not listed on IDEAS
  13. Honohan, Patrick & Shi, Anging, 2001. "Deposit dollarization and the financial sector in emerging economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2748, The World Bank.
  14. Hannan, Timothy H & Berger, Allen N, 1991. "The Rigidity of Prices: Evidence from the Banking Industry," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(4), pages 938-45, September.
  15. Barry Scholnick, 1996. "Retail Interest Rate Rigidity after Financial Liberalization," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 29(s1), pages 433-37, April.
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Cited by:
  1. Wang, Kuan-Min & Lee, Yuan-Ming, 2009. "Market volatility and retail interest rate pass-through," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1270-1282, November.
  2. Kuan-Min Wang, 2010. "Expected and Unexpected Impulses of Monetary Policy on the Interest Pass-Through Mechanism in Asian Countries," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 11(1), pages 95-137, May.
  3. Hsu-Ling Chang & Chi-Wei Su, 2010. "The Lending-Deposit Rate Relationship in Eastern European Countries: Evidence from the Rank Test for Non-linear Cointegration," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 60(6), pages 534-544, December.

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