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Analyse de la gentrification urbaine dans l'agglomération de Montréal et regard particulier sur les secteurs traversés par la ligne rose

Author

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  • Kristian Behrens
  • Julien Martin
  • Florian Mayneris

Abstract

The objective of this study is to identify the areas likely to become gentrified in the coming years along the route of the future pink line. We construct a gentrification likelihood score based on six criteria: the presence of so-called "pioneer" settlements (from sectors generally located in affluent neighborhoods, but overrepresented in disadvantaged neighborhoods that will gentrify) and "non-pioneer" settlements (other sectors), the proximity of neighborhoods that gentrified between 2006 and 2016, the proximity of a metro station, the share of residents with a university degree, and the age of the building. The score calculated at the diffusion area level is then aggregated at the level of the seventy-one stations of the pink line (and its different variants) by taking the diffusion areas located within a certain radius around each station. Eleven stations appear as hot spots in terms of the likelihood of gentrification. They are Maurice-Duplessis/Rolland, Robert-Viau, Jarry/Provencher, Jean-Talon/Pie-IX, Jean-Talon/Viau, Bélanger/Pie-IX, Frontenac, Place Turcot, Newman/Thierry, Newman/Dollard and Newman/Wanklyn L’objectif de cette étude est d’identifier les zones susceptibles de s’embourgeoiser dans les années à venir le long du tracé de la future ligne rose. Nous construisons un score de vraisemblance de gentrification basé sur six critères: la présence d’établissements dits « pionniers » (issus de secteurs généralement localisés dans des quartiers aisés, mais surreprésentés dans les quartiers défavorisés qui vont se gentrifier) et « non pionniers » (les autres secteurs), la proximité de quartiers qui se sont gentrifiés entre 2006 et 2016, la proximité d’une station de métro, la part de résidents détenant un diplôme universitaire et l’âge du bâti. Le score calculé au niveau des aires de diffusion est ensuite agrégé au niveau des soixante et onze stations de la ligne rose (et de ses différentes variantes) en prenant les aires de diffusion situées dans un certain rayon autour de chaque station. Onze stations apparaissent comme des points chauds en termes de vraisemblance de gentrification. Il s’agit des stations Maurice-Duplessis/Rolland, Robert-Viau, Jarry/Provencher, Jean-Talon/Pie-IX, Jean-Talon/Viau, Bélanger/Pie-IX, Frontenac, Place Turcot, Newman/Thierry, Newman/Dollard et Newman/Wanklyn.

Suggested Citation

  • Kristian Behrens & Julien Martin & Florian Mayneris, 2021. "Analyse de la gentrification urbaine dans l'agglomération de Montréal et regard particulier sur les secteurs traversés par la ligne rose," CIRANO Project Reports 2020rp-36, CIRANO.
    • Handle: RePEc:cir:cirpro:2020rp-36
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    File URL: https://cirano.qc.ca/files/publications/2020RP-36.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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