The Stock Market and the Consumer Confidence Channel in Canada
AbstractThis paper provides new evidence on the relations between the stock market and consumer behavior in Canada. It differentiates between two channels of stock price transmission: a direct wealth channel that operates through changes in wealth and an indirect consumer confidence channel that affects consumption through changes in consumer optimism. The two channels are evaluated by testing the ability of stock prices to predict consumer confidence measures. The hypothesis that stock prices are transmitted only through the wealth channel is rejected at the national and regional levels. Furthermore, confidence measures respond more strongly to stock prices declines than to increases.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Carleton University, Department of Economics in its series Carleton Economic Papers with number 10-08.
Length: 27 pages
Date of creation: 27 Sep 2010
Date of revision: 26 Aug 2011
Publication status: Published: Carleton Economic Papers
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Other versions of this item:
- Lilia Karnizova & Hashmat Khan, 2010. "The Stock Market and the Consumer Confidence Channel in Canada," Working Papers 1004E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
- E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
- E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
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