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The political settlement and oil in Uganda

Author

Listed:
  • Sam Hickey
  • Badru Bukenya
  • Angelo Izama
  • William Kizito

Abstract

The capacity and commitment of Uganda to govern its oil in developmental ways has generally been discussed through a ‘new institutionalist’ prism that focuses on the dangers of the ‘resource curse’. This paper argues that the developmental potential of oil in Uganda can be more insightfully understood through a political settlements framework which goes beyond a focus on institutional form to examine deeper forms of politics, power and ideas. Drawing on in-depth primary research, we focus in particular on the extent to which the interplay of interests and ideas within the ruling coalition in Uganda has enabled it to protect its national interest during negotiations with international oil companies. However, our reading of the underlying dynamics within Uganda’s political settlement suggests that the impressive levels of elite commitment and bureaucratic capacity displayed to date are unlikely to withstand the intensified pressures that will accompany the commencement of oil flows.

Suggested Citation

  • Sam Hickey & Badru Bukenya & Angelo Izama & William Kizito, 2015. "The political settlement and oil in Uganda," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series esid-048-15, GDI, The University of Manchester.
    • Handle: RePEc:bwp:bwppap:esid-048-15
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Van Alstine, James & Manyindo, Jacob & Smith, Laura & Dixon, Jami & AmanigaRuhanga, Ivan, 2014. "Resource governance dynamics: The challenge of ‘new oil’ in Uganda," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 48-58.
    2. Hickey, Sam, 2005. "The politics of staying poor: exploring the political space for poverty reduction in Uganda," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 995-1009, June.
    3. Ian Taylor, 2014. "Emerging powers, state capitalism and the oil sector in Africa," Review of African Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(141), pages 341-357, September.
    4. Hickey, Sam, 2013. "Beyond the Poverty Agenda? Insights from the New Politics of Development in Uganda," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 194-206.
    5. Frederick Golooba-Mutebi & Sam Hickey, 2013. "Investigating the links between political settlements and inclusive development in Uganda: towards a research agenda," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series esid-020-13, GDI, The University of Manchester.
    6. Amy Poteete, 2009. "Is Development Path Dependent or Political? A Reinterpretation of Mineral-Dependent Development in Botswana," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(4), pages 544-571.
    7. Dijkstra, A. Geske & Kees van Donge, Jan, 2001. "What Does the 'Show Case' Show? Evidence of and Lessons from Adjustment in Uganda," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 841-863, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pablo Yanguas, 2016. "The role and responsibility of foreign aid in recipient political settlements," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series esid-056-16, GDI, The University of Manchester.
    2. Anne Mette Kjaer & Nansozi K. Muwanga, 2016. "Inclusion as political mobilisation: The political economy of quality education initiatives in Uganda," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series esid-065-16, GDI, The University of Manchester.

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