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Economic Liberalization and External Shocks. The Hypothesis of Convergence for the Mexican States, 1994-2015

Author

Listed:
  • Fonseca Felipe J.
  • Llamosas-Rosas Irving
  • Rangel González Erick

Abstract

We study the convergence hypothesis for Mexican states during the period 1994-2015 considering the impact not only of NAFTA but also of other external shocks, such as China's entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001 and the global financial crisis of 2008. Using econometric panel data models, with no fixed effects to avoid small sample bias, and following the methodology developed by Barro (2012), the main results indicate: i) presence of absolute divergence, consistent with a sigma divergence process, particularly in the period after the outbreak of the global crisis of 2008; and ii) a process weakening in conditional convergence across the sub-periods analyzed.

Suggested Citation

  • Fonseca Felipe J. & Llamosas-Rosas Irving & Rangel González Erick, 2018. "Economic Liberalization and External Shocks. The Hypothesis of Convergence for the Mexican States, 1994-2015," Working Papers 2018-26, Banco de México.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdm:wpaper:2018-26
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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