IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/azt/cemmap/26-14.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The lasso for high-dimensional regression with a possible change-point

Author

Listed:
  • Sokbae (Simon) Lee
  • Myung Hwan Seo
  • Youngki Shin

Abstract

We consider a high-dimensional regression model with a possible change-point due to a covariate threshold and develop the Lasso estimator of regression coefficients as well as the threshold parameter. Our Lasso estimator not only selects covariates but also selects a model between linear and threshold regression models. Under a sparsity assumption, we derive non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for both the prediction risk and the l1 estimation loss for regression coefficients. Since the Lasso estimator selects variables simultaneously, we show that oracle inequalities can be established without pretesting the existence of the threshold e ect. Furthermore, we establish conditions under which the estimation error of the unknown threshold parameter can be bounded by a nearly n-1 factor even when the number of regressors can be much larger than the sample size (n). We illustrate the usefulness of our proposed estimation method via Monte Carlo simulations and an application to real data.

Suggested Citation

  • Sokbae (Simon) Lee & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2014. "The lasso for high-dimensional regression with a possible change-point," CeMMAP working papers 26/14, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:azt:cemmap:26/14
    DOI: 10.1920/wp.cem.2014.2614
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cemmap.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/CWP2614.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1920/wp.cem.2014.2614?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. anonymous, 1995. "Does the bouncing ball lead to economic growth?," Regional Update, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, issue Jul, pages 1-2,4-6.
    2. David Card & Alexandre Mas & Jesse Rothstein, 2008. "Tipping and the Dynamics of Segregation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 123(1), pages 177-218.
    3. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Pick, Andreas, 2007. "Econometric issues in the analysis of contagion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1245-1277, April.
    4. Zou, Hui, 2006. "The Adaptive Lasso and Its Oracle Properties," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 101, pages 1418-1429, December.
    5. Bruce E. Hansen, 2000. "Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(3), pages 575-604, May.
    6. Robert J. Barro, 2013. "Inflation and Economic Growth," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 14(1), pages 121-144, May.
    7. Wu, Y., 2008. "Simultaneous change point analysis and variable selection in a regression problem," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(9), pages 2154-2171, October.
    8. Klaus Frick & Axel Munk & Hannes Sieling, 2014. "Multiscale change point inference," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 76(3), pages 495-580, June.
    9. Durlauf, Steven N & Johnson, Paul A, 1995. "Multiple Regimes and Cross-Country Growth Behaviour," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(4), pages 365-384, Oct.-Dec..
    10. Harchaoui, Z. & Lévy-Leduc, C., 2010. "Multiple Change-Point Estimation With a Total Variation Penalty," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(492), pages 1480-1493.
    11. Kim, Yongdai & Choi, Hosik & Oh, Hee-Seok, 2008. "Smoothly Clipped Absolute Deviation on High Dimensions," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103(484), pages 1665-1673.
    12. Lee, Sokbae & Seo, Myung Hwan & Shin, Youngki, 2011. "Testing for Threshold Effects in Regression Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 106(493), pages 220-231.
    13. Robert Tibshirani, 2011. "Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso: a retrospective," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 73(3), pages 273-282, June.
    14. Jelena Bradic & Jianqing Fan & Weiwei Wang, 2011. "Penalized composite quasi‐likelihood for ultrahigh dimensional variable selection," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 73(3), pages 325-349, June.
    15. Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), 2005. "Handbook of Economic Growth," Handbook of Economic Growth, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 1, number 1.
    16. Gabriela Ciuperca, 2014. "Model selection by LASSO methods in a change-point model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 349-374, May.
    17. Fan J. & Li R., 2001. "Variable Selection via Nonconcave Penalized Likelihood and its Oracle Properties," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1348-1360, December.
    18. Xavier Sala-I-Martin, 1997. "Transfers, Social Safety Nets, and Economic Growth," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 44(1), pages 81-102, March.
    19. Wei Lin & Jinchi Lv, 2013. "High-Dimensional Sparse Additive Hazards Regression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(501), pages 247-264, March.
    20. Lan Wang & Yichao Wu & Runze Li, 2012. "Quantile Regression for Analyzing Heterogeneity in Ultra-High Dimension," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(497), pages 214-222, March.
    21. Gabriela Ciuperca, 2014. "Erratum to: Model selection by LASSO methods in a change-point model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1231-1232, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pang, Tianxiao & Tai-Leung Chong, Terence & Zhang, Danna & Liang, Yanling, 2018. "Structural Change In Nonstationary Ar(1) Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(5), pages 985-1017, October.
    2. Chen, Likai & Wang, Weining & Wu, Wei Biao, 2019. "Inference of Break-Points in High-Dimensional Time Series," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2019-013, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    3. Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Continuous Record Asymptotics for Change-Points Models," Papers 1803.10881, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
    4. Sokbae Lee & Yuan Liao & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2018. "Oracle Estimation of a Change Point in High-Dimensional Quantile Regression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(523), pages 1184-1194, July.
    5. Lixiong Yang, 2023. "Variable selection in threshold model with a covariate-dependent threshold," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 189-202, July.
    6. Yan, Hongqiang & Goodwin, Barry K. & Caner, Mehmet, 2023. "Investigating Integration and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in World Maize Markets Using Inferential LASSO Methods," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335707, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Okui, Ryo & Wang, Wendun, 2021. "Heterogeneous structural breaks in panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 447-473.
    8. A. Gibberd & S. Roy, 2021. "Consistent multiple changepoint estimation with fused Gaussian graphical models," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(2), pages 283-309, April.
    9. Abhimanyu Gupta & Myung Hwan Seo, 2023. "Robust Inference on Infinite and Growing Dimensional Time‐Series Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(4), pages 1333-1361, July.
    10. Xu, Haotian & Wang, Daren & Zhao, Zifeng & Yu, Yi, 2022. "Change point inference in high-dimensional regression models under temporal dependence," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2022027, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    11. Myung Hwan Seo & Yoichi Arai & Taisuke Otsu, 2021. "Regression Discontinuity Design with Potentially Many Covariates," Working Paper Series no142, Institute of Economic Research, Seoul National University.
    12. Gabriela Ciuperca, 2018. "Test by adaptive LASSO quantile method for real-time detection of a change-point," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 81(6), pages 689-720, August.
    13. Daiqing Xi & Tianxiao Pang, 2021. "Estimating multiple breaks in mean sequentially with fractionally integrated errors," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(1), pages 451-494, February.
    14. Yang, Xinfeng & Yan, Xiaodong & Huang, Jian, 2019. "High-dimensional integrative analysis with homogeneity and sparsity recovery," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    15. Xu Cheng & Zhipeng Liao & Frank Schorfheide, 2016. "Shrinkage Estimation of High-Dimensional Factor Models with Structural Instabilities," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 83(4), pages 1511-1543.
    16. Pang, Tianxiao & Du, Lingjie & Chong, Terence Tai-Leung, 2021. "Estimating multiple breaks in nonstationary autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 277-311.
    17. Cui, Junfeng & Wang, Guanghui & Zou, Changliang & Wang, Zhaojun, 2023. "Change-point testing for parallel data sets with FDR control," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    18. Laurent Callot & Mehmet Caner & Anders Bredahl Kock & Juan Andres Riquelme, 2017. "Sharp Threshold Detection Based on Sup-Norm Error Rates in High-Dimensional Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 250-264, April.
    19. Yoici Arai & Taisuke Otsu & Myung Hwan Seo, 2019. "Causal inference on regression discontinuity designs by high-dimensional methods," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 601, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    20. Kapetanios, George & Zikes, Filip, 2018. "Time-varying Lasso," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 1-6.
    21. Liu, Bin & Zhang, Xinsheng & Liu, Yufeng, 2022. "High dimensional change point inference: Recent developments and extensions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sokbae Lee & Yuan Liao & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2018. "Oracle Estimation of a Change Point in High-Dimensional Quantile Regression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(523), pages 1184-1194, July.
    2. Shohoudi, Azadeh & Khalili, Abbas & Wolfson, David B. & Asgharian, Masoud, 2016. "Simultaneous variable selection and de-coarsening in multi-path change-point models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 202-217.
    3. Karsten Schweikert, 2022. "Oracle Efficient Estimation of Structural Breaks in Cointegrating Regressions," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(1), pages 83-104, January.
    4. Behrendt, Simon & Schweikert, Karsten, 2021. "A Note on Adaptive Group Lasso for Structural Break Time Series," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 156-172.
    5. Karsten Schweikert, 2020. "Oracle Efficient Estimation of Structural Breaks in Cointegrating Regressions," Papers 2001.07949, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
    6. Qiang Li & Liming Wang, 2020. "Robust change point detection method via adaptive LAD-LASSO," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 109-121, February.
    7. Kean Ming Tan & Lan Wang & Wen‐Xin Zhou, 2022. "High‐dimensional quantile regression: Convolution smoothing and concave regularization," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(1), pages 205-233, February.
    8. Young-Joo Kim & Myung Hwan Seo, 2017. "Is There a Jump in the Transition?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 241-249, April.
    9. Wang, Shangshan & Xiang, Liming, 2017. "Two-layer EM algorithm for ALD mixture regression models: A new solution to composite quantile regression," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 136-154.
    10. Nahed Zghidi & Zouheir Abida, 2014. "Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in North African Countries," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 17(53), pages 91-120, September.
    11. John Ssozi & Simplice A. Asongu, 2016. "The Comparative Economics of Catch-up in Output per Worker, Total Factor Productivity and Technological Gain in Sub-Saharan Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 28(2), pages 215-228, June.
    12. Gazi Hassan & Arusha Cooray & Mark Holmes, 2017. "The effect of female and male health on economic growth: cross-country evidence within a production function framework," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(2), pages 659-689, March.
    13. Yan, Xiaodong & Wang, Hongni & Wang, Wei & Xie, Jinhan & Ren, Yanyan & Wang, Xinjun, 2021. "Optimal model averaging forecasting in high-dimensional survival analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1147-1155.
    14. Up Lim, 2016. "Regional income club convergence in US BEA economic areas: a spatial switching regression approach," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(1), pages 273-294, January.
    15. Márcio Poletti Laurini, 2017. "A spatial error model with continuous random effects and an application to growth convergence," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 371-398, October.
    16. William A. Brock & Steven N. Durlauf & Kenneth D. West, 2003. "Policy Evaluation in Uncertain Economic Environments," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 34(1), pages 235-322.
    17. Fan, Zengyan & Lian, Heng, 2018. "Quantile regression for additive coefficient models in high dimensions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 54-64.
    18. Chumacero Rómulo A., 2006. "On the Power of Absolute Convergence Tests," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(2), pages 1-25, May.
    19. Samir Ghazouani, 2012. "Threshold Effect of Inflation on Growth: Evidence from MENA Region," Working Papers 715, Economic Research Forum, revised 2012.
    20. Stephen Dobson & Carlyn Ramlogan & Eric Strobl, 2006. "Why Do Rates Of Β‐Convergence Differ? A Meta‐Regression Analysis," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 53(2), pages 153-173, May.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:azt:cemmap:26/14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dermot Watson (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifsssuk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.