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Stochastic relaxational dynamics applied to finance: towards non-equilibrium option pricing theory

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  • Matthias Otto

    (Institute of Theoretical Physics, University of Goettingen, Germany)

Abstract

Non-equilibrium phenomena occur not only in physical world, but also in finance. In this work, stochastic relaxational dynamics (together with path integrals) is applied to option pricing theory. A recently proposed model (by Ilinski et al.) considers fluctuations around this equilibrium state by introducing a relaxational dynamics with random noise for intermediate deviations called ``virtual'' arbitrage returns. In this work, the model is incorporated within a martingale pricing method for derivatives on securities (e.g. stocks) in incomplete markets using a mapping to option pricing theory with stochastic interest rates. Using a famous result by Merton and with some help from the path integral method, exact pricing formulas for European call and put options under the influence of virtual arbitrage returns (or intermediate deviations from economic equilibrium) are derived where only the final integration over initial arbitrage returns needs to be performed numerically. This result is complemented by a discussion of the hedging strategy associated to a derivative, which replicates the final payoff but turns out to be not self-financing in the real world, but self-financing {\it when summed over the derivative's remaining life time}. Numerical examples are given which underline the fact that an additional positive risk premium (with respect to the Black-Scholes values) is found reflecting extra hedging costs due to intermediate deviations from economic equilibrium.

Suggested Citation

  • Matthias Otto, 1999. "Stochastic relaxational dynamics applied to finance: towards non-equilibrium option pricing theory," Papers cond-mat/9906196, arXiv.org, revised Oct 1999.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:cond-mat/9906196
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kirill Ilinski, 1999. "How to account for virtual arbitrage in the standard derivative pricing," Papers cond-mat/9902047, arXiv.org.
    2. anonymous, 1963. "Financing business investment," Federal Reserve Bulletin, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), issue Aug, pages 1039-1045.
    3. Baxter,Martin & Rennie,Andrew, 1996. "Financial Calculus," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521552899.
    4. David Heath & Eckhard Platen & M. Schweizer, 1998. "Comparison of Some Key Approaches to Hedging in Incomplete Markets," Research Paper Series 1, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    5. Sergei Fedotov & Sergei Mikhailov, 1998. "Option Pricing Model for Incomplete Market," Papers cond-mat/9807397, arXiv.org, revised Aug 1998.
    6. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 1998. "Elements for a theory of financial risks," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500042, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
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    Cited by:

    1. Haven, Emmanuel, 2008. "Elementary Quantum Mechanical Principles and Social Science: Is There a Connection?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(1), pages 41-58, March.

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