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Bilinear Input Normalization for Neural Networks in Financial Forecasting

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  • Dat Thanh Tran
  • Juho Kanniainen
  • Moncef Gabbouj
  • Alexandros Iosifidis

Abstract

Data normalization is one of the most important preprocessing steps when building a machine learning model, especially when the model of interest is a deep neural network. This is because deep neural network optimized with stochastic gradient descent is sensitive to the input variable range and prone to numerical issues. Different than other types of signals, financial time-series often exhibit unique characteristics such as high volatility, non-stationarity and multi-modality that make them challenging to work with, often requiring expert domain knowledge for devising a suitable processing pipeline. In this paper, we propose a novel data-driven normalization method for deep neural networks that handle high-frequency financial time-series. The proposed normalization scheme, which takes into account the bimodal characteristic of financial multivariate time-series, requires no expert knowledge to preprocess a financial time-series since this step is formulated as part of the end-to-end optimization process. Our experiments, conducted with state-of-the-arts neural networks and high-frequency data from two large-scale limit order books coming from the Nordic and US markets, show significant improvements over other normalization techniques in forecasting future stock price dynamics.

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  • Dat Thanh Tran & Juho Kanniainen & Moncef Gabbouj & Alexandros Iosifidis, 2021. "Bilinear Input Normalization for Neural Networks in Financial Forecasting," Papers 2109.00983, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2109.00983
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ymir Mäkinen & Juho Kanniainen & Moncef Gabbouj & Alexandros Iosifidis, 2019. "Forecasting jump arrivals in stock prices: new attention-based network architecture using limit order book data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(12), pages 2033-2050, December.
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    8. Dat Thanh Tran & Juho Kanniainen & Moncef Gabbouj & Alexandros Iosifidis, 2020. "Data Normalization for Bilinear Structures in High-Frequency Financial Time-series," Papers 2003.00598, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
    9. Siikanen, Milla & Kanniainen, Juho & Luoma, Arto, 2017. "What drives the sensitivity of limit order books to company announcement arrivals?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 65-68.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mostafa Shabani & Dat Thanh Tran & Juho Kanniainen & Alexandros Iosifidis, 2022. "Augmented Bilinear Network for Incremental Multi-Stock Time-Series Classification," Papers 2207.11577, arXiv.org.
    2. Ilia Zaznov & Julian Kunkel & Alfonso Dufour & Atta Badii, 2022. "Predicting Stock Price Changes Based on the Limit Order Book: A Survey," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-33, April.

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