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Long and Short Memory in Economics: Fractional-Order Difference and Differentiation

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  • Vasily E. Tarasov
  • Valentina V. Tarasova

Abstract

Long and short memory in economic processes is usually described by the so-called discrete fractional differencing and fractional integration. We prove that the discrete fractional differencing and integration are the Grunwald-Letnikov fractional differences of non-integer order d. Equations of ARIMA(p,d,q) and ARFIMA(p,d,q) models are the fractional-order difference equations with the Grunwald-Letnikov differences of order d. We prove that the long and short memory with power law should be described by the exact fractional-order differences, for which the Fourier transform demonstrates the power law exactly. The fractional differencing and the Grunwald-Letnikov fractional differences cannot give exact results for the long and short memory with power law, since the Fourier transform of these discrete operators satisfy the power law in the neighborhood of zero only. We prove that the economic processes with the continuous time long and short memory, which is characterized by the power law, should be described by the fractional differential equations.

Suggested Citation

  • Vasily E. Tarasov & Valentina V. Tarasova, 2016. "Long and Short Memory in Economics: Fractional-Order Difference and Differentiation," Papers 1612.07903, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2017.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1612.07903
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Baillie, Richard T., 1996. "Long memory processes and fractional integration in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 5-59, July.
    2. Banerjee, Anindya & Urga, Giovanni, 2005. "Modelling structural breaks, long memory and stock market volatility: an overview," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 129(1-2), pages 1-34.
    3. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Javier Hualde, 2009. "Fractional Integration and Cointegration: An Overview and an Empirical Application," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Terence C. Mills & Kerry Patterson (ed.), Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics, chapter 10, pages 434-469, Palgrave Macmillan.
    4. C. W. J. Granger & Roselyne Joyeux, 1980. "An Introduction To Long‐Memory Time Series Models And Fractional Differencing," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 1(1), pages 15-29, January.
    5. William R. Parke, 1999. "What Is Fractional Integration?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 81(4), pages 632-638, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Valentina V. Tarasova & Vasily E. Tarasov, 2016. "Fractional Dynamics of Natural Growth and Memory Effect in Economics," Papers 1612.09060, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2017.
    2. Valentina V. Tarasova & Vasily E. Tarasov, 2017. "Economic Growth Model with Constant Pace and Dynamic Memory," Papers 1701.06299, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2019.
    3. Vasily E. Tarasov, 2019. "On History of Mathematical Economics: Application of Fractional Calculus," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-28, June.
    4. Valentina V. Tarasova & Vasily E. Tarasov, 2017. "Accelerators in macroeconomics: Comparison of discrete and continuous approaches," Papers 1712.09605, arXiv.org.
    5. Vasily E. Tarasov & Valentina V. Tarasova, 2019. "Dynamic Keynesian Model of Economic Growth with Memory and Lag," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-17, February.
    6. Valentina V. Tarasova & Vasily E. Tarasov, 2017. "Accelerators in Macroeconomics: Comparison of Discrete and Continuous Approaches," American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Science Publications, vol. 9(3), pages 47-55, November.

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