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The impact of index funds on grain futures markets revisited

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  • Steinhübel, Linda
  • Prehn, Sören
  • Brümmer, Bernhard
  • Pies, Ingo
  • Will, Matthias Georg

Abstract

We analyse the impact of index investment on four grain futures markets by applying several vector auto-regression models, generalised impulse response functions (GIRF), and a structural break analysis. We also test for effects of long-short index funds, an aspect widely ignored so far. Index funds have some price-disturbing effects. These are, however, short-term and variable. In all markets, significant effects vanish after 2010 and we conclude that markets learned and adjusted to rising index investment. GIRF of different trader types imply that index investment serves actual hedging needs and does not generally contribute to the financialisation of futures markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Steinhübel, Linda & Prehn, Sören & Brümmer, Bernhard & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2017. "The impact of index funds on grain futures markets revisited," 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy 261428, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae17:261428
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.261428
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2012. "Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(3), pages 371-396, August.
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    3. Scott H. Irwin & Dwight R. Sanders, 2010. "The Impact of Index and Swap Funds on Commodity Futures Markets: Preliminary Results," OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers 27, OECD Publishing.
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    6. Prehn, Sören & Glauben, Thomas & Loy, Jens-Peter & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2014. "The impact of long-only index funds on price discovery and market performance in agricultural futures markets [Der Einfluss von Long-only-Indexfonds auf die Preisfindung und das Marktergebnis an la," IAMO Discussion Papers 147, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
    7. Christopher L. Gilbert, 2010. "How to Understand High Food Prices," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 398-425, June.
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    Agricultural and Food Policy; Marketing;

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