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The Evolution of Poverty during the Crisis in Indonesia

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  • Asep Suryahadi
  • Sudarno Sumarto
  • Lant Pritchett

Abstract

The economic crisis caused a clear deterioration in the welfare of the Indonesian people. In this paper, we examine the appropriate method to compare the change in poverty rates over time. We then piece together a consistent series of estimates of poverty rates during the crisis from various sources, covering a period from February 1996 to February 2002. The reconciliation of these various estimates paints a very reasonable picture and neatly tracks events. The poverty rate increased from the lowest point of approximately 15% at the onset of the crisis in the middle of 1997 to the highest point of approximately 33% nearing the end of 1998. This maximum increase in poverty rate during the crisis of 18 percentage points implies that approximately 36 million additional people were pushed into absolute poverty due to the crisis. After the peak point, the poverty rate started to decline again and reached the pre‐crisis level of approximately 15% at the end of 1999, implying that the lost time in poverty reduction due to the crisis was approximately 2.5years. However, the poverty rate after this point appears to have fluctuated. During 2001 and early 2002, poverty was on the rise again.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Asep Suryahadi & Sudarno Sumarto & Lant Pritchett, "undated". "The Evolution of Poverty during the Crisis in Indonesia," Working Papers 393, Publications Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:agg:wpaper:393
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hadi Soesastro & M. Chatib Basri, 1998. "Survey of Recent Developments," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 3-54.
    2. Foster, James & Greer, Joel & Thorbecke, Erik, 1984. "A Class of Decomposable Poverty Measures," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 761-766, May.
    3. Frankenberg, E. & Thomas, D. & Beegle, K., 1999. "The Real Costs of Indonesia's Economic Crisis: Preliminary Findings from the Indonesia Family Life Surveys," Papers 99-04, RAND - Labor and Population Program.
    4. Menno Pradhan & Asep Suryahadi & Sudarno Sumarto & Lant Pritchett, 2001. "Eating like which “Joneses?” an Iterative Solution to the Choice of a Poverty Line “Reference Group”," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 47(4), pages 473-487, December.
    5. E. Skoufias & A. Suryahadi, 2002. "A cohort analysis of wages in Indonesia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(13), pages 1703-1710.
    6. Chris Manning, 2000. "Labour Market Adjustment to Indonesia's Economic Crisis: Context, Trends and Implications," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 105-136.
    7. Paul Deuster, 2002. "Survey Of Recent Developments," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 5-37.
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