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Mortality and Urbanization: An African Tragedy

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Since the 1980s, no significant negative relationship exists in sub-Saharan Africa between adult mortality and urbanization. In the rest of the world, the relationship between adult mortality and urbanization is significantly negative. High prevalence of HIV likely explains the absence of a significant negative relationship between adult mortality and urbanization in sub-Saharan Africa. HIV can spread more rapidly in the city than in the countryside because the costs of finding multiple sexual partners are lower in the city than in the countryside. During the 1960s and 1970s, i.e. prior to the HIV pandemic, adult mortality and urbanization are significantly negatively correlated in sub-Saharan Africa.

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  • Markus Brueckner, 2016. "Mortality and Urbanization: An African Tragedy," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2016-644, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:acb:cbeeco:2016-644
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    File URL: https://www.cbe.anu.edu.au/researchpapers/econ/wp644.pdf
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