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Forecasting Swiss Mail Demand

In: Progress toward Liberalization of the Postal and Delivery Sector

Author

Listed:
  • Urs Trinkner

    (University of Zurich
    Swiss Post)

  • Martin Grossmann

    (University of Zurich)

Abstract

The demand for mail is facing a great challenge. In recent years, substitutes such as e-mail and SMS (Short Message Service) have become a cheap, fast and convenient alternative. In the near future, new broadband-based services, the breakthrough of digital signatures, fully Web-based payment systems, and contracting solutions will further affect the mailing industry. In Switzerland, total addressed mail peaked in the last quarter of 2000, as shown in Figure 1. Since then, mail volumes have been shrinking. Yet it is not clear whether e-substitution has been the underlying cause or whether this was due to some other factor such as the economic slowdown in Switzerland between 2001 and 2003.

Suggested Citation

  • Urs Trinkner & Martin Grossmann, 2006. "Forecasting Swiss Mail Demand," Topics in Regulatory Economics and Policy, in: Michael A. Crew & Paul R. Kleindorfer (ed.), Progress toward Liberalization of the Postal and Delivery Sector, chapter 0, pages 267-280, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:topchp:978-0-387-29744-6_16
    DOI: 10.1007/978-0-387-29744-6_16
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Niederprüm, Antonia & Thiele, Sonja, 2012. "Prognosemodelle zur Nachfrage von Briefdienstleistungen," WIK Discussion Papers 371, WIK Wissenschaftliches Institut für Infrastruktur und Kommunikationsdienste GmbH.
    2. Martin Buser & Christian Jaag & Urs Trinkner, 2008. "Economics of Post Office Networks: Strategic Issues and the Impact on Mail Demand," Chapters, in: Michael A. Crew & Paul R. Kleindofer & James I. Campbell Jr (ed.), Handbook of Worldwide Postal Reform, chapter 5, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Jaag, Christian, 2014. "Postal-sector policy: From monopoly to regulated competition and beyond," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 266-277.
    4. Christian Jaag, 2007. "Liberalization of the Swiss Letter Market and the Viability of Universal Service Obligations," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 143(III), pages 261-282, September.
    5. Christian Jaag & Urs Trinkner, 2008. "Pricing in Competitive Two-Sided Mail Markets," Chapters, in: Michael A. Crew & Paul R. Kleindorfer (ed.), Competition and Regulation in the Postal and Delivery Sector, chapter 10, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    6. Jaag Christian, 2013. "Price Regulation and the Financing of Universal Services in Network Industries," Review of Law & Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 125-150, September.
    7. Helmut M. Dietl & Urs Trinkner, 2008. "Developing Universal Postal Services in Latin America ? an Economic Perspective," Working Papers 0012, Swiss Economics, revised Nov 2008.
    8. Christian Jaag & Urs Trinkner, 2011. "The interaction between universal service costing and financing in the postal sector: a calibrated approach," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 39(1), pages 89-110, February.
    9. Matthias Finger & Christian Jaag & Markus Lang & Martin Lutzenberger & Urs Trinkner, 2009. "Bestimmung des Regulierungsbedarfs aus ökonomischer Sicht: Angemessenheit und Folgen einer funktionalen oder strukturellen Trennung von Swisscom," Studies and Reports, Swiss Economics, pages 1-92, February.

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