IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wsi/nmncxx/v14y2018i03ns1793005718500230.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

On the Convexity Correction Approximation in Pricing Volatility Swaps and VIX Futures

Author

Listed:
  • Song-Ping Zhu

    (School of Mathematics and Applied Statistics, University of Wollongong, Australia)

  • Guang-Hua Lian

    (#x2020;School of Commerce, University of South Australia, Australia)

Abstract

Convexity correction is a well-known approximation technique used in pricing volatility swaps and VIX futures. However, the accuracy of the technique itself and the validity condition of this approximation have hardly been addressed and discussed in the literature. This paper shows that, through both theoretical analysis and numerical examples, this type of approximations is not necessarily accurate and one should be very careful in using it. We also show that a better accuracy cannot be achieved by extending the convexity correction approximation from a second-order Taylor expansion to third-order or fourth-order Taylor expansions. We then analyze why and when it deteriorates, and provide a validity condition of applying the convexity correction approximation. Finally, we propose a new approximation, which is an extension of the convexity correction approximation, to achieve better accuracies.

Suggested Citation

  • Song-Ping Zhu & Guang-Hua Lian, 2018. "On the Convexity Correction Approximation in Pricing Volatility Swaps and VIX Futures," New Mathematics and Natural Computation (NMNC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(03), pages 383-401, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:nmncxx:v:14:y:2018:i:03:n:s1793005718500230
    DOI: 10.1142/S1793005718500230
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S1793005718500230
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1142/S1793005718500230?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. John C. Cox & Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr. & Stephen A. Ross, 2005. "A Theory Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 5, pages 129-164, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Darrell Duffie & Jun Pan & Kenneth Singleton, 2000. "Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-Diffusions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(6), pages 1343-1376, November.
    3. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    4. Andrey Itkin & Peter Carr, 2010. "Pricing swaps and options on quadratic variation under stochastic time change models—discrete observations case," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 141-176, July.
    5. Gilles Daniel & Nathan Joseph & David Bree, 2005. "Stochastic volatility and the goodness-of-fit of the Heston model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 199-211.
    6. Yueh‐Neng Lin, 2007. "Pricing VIX futures: Evidence from integrated physical and risk‐neutral probability measures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(12), pages 1175-1217, December.
    7. Alireza Javaheri & Paul Wilmott & Espen Haug, 2004. "GARCH and Volatility swaps," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(5), pages 589-595.
    8. Heston, Steven L & Nandi, Saikat, 2000. "A Closed-Form GARCH Option Valuation Model," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(3), pages 585-625.
    9. Mark Broadie & Ashish Jain, 2008. "The Effect Of Jumps And Discrete Sampling On Volatility And Variance Swaps," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(08), pages 761-797.
    10. Robert Elliott & Tak Kuen Siu & Leunglung Chan, 2007. "Pricing Volatility Swaps Under Heston's Stochastic Volatility Model with Regime Switching," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 41-62.
    11. Fred Espen Benth & Martin Groth & Rodwell Kufakunesu, 2007. "Valuing Volatility and Variance Swaps for a Non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Stochastic Volatility Model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 347-363.
    12. Silva, A. Christian & Prange, Richard E. & Yakovenko, Victor M., 2004. "Exponential distribution of financial returns at mesoscopic time lags: a new stylized fact," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 344(1), pages 227-235.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhu, Song-Ping & Lian, Guang-Hua, 2015. "Pricing forward-start variance swaps with stochastic volatility," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 920-933.
    2. Lian, Guanghua & Chiarella, Carl & Kalev, Petko S., 2014. "Volatility swaps and volatility options on discretely sampled realized variance," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 239-262.
    3. M.E. Mancino & S. Scotti & G. Toscano, 2020. "Is the Variance Swap Rate Affine in the Spot Variance? Evidence from S&P500 Data," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 288-316, July.
    4. Ah-Reum Han & Jeong-Hoon Kim & See-Woo Kim, 2021. "Variance Swaps with Deterministic and Stochastic Correlations," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 1059-1092, April.
    5. Alexandru Badescu & Zhenyu Cui & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2019. "Closed-form variance swap prices under general affine GARCH models and their continuous-time limits," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 282(1), pages 27-57, November.
    6. Cao, Jiling & Lian, Guanghua & Roslan, Teh Raihana Nazirah, 2016. "Pricing variance swaps under stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 277(C), pages 72-81.
    7. Anatoliy Swishchuk, 2013. "Modeling and Pricing of Swaps for Financial and Energy Markets with Stochastic Volatilities," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 8660, December.
    8. Kozarski, R., 2013. "Pricing and hedging in the VIX derivative market," Other publications TiSEM 221fefe0-241e-4914-b6bd-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    9. Roger Lord & Remmert Koekkoek & Dick Van Dijk, 2010. "A comparison of biased simulation schemes for stochastic volatility models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 177-194.
    10. Lin, Yueh-Neng & Chang, Chien-Hung, 2010. "Consistent modeling of S&P 500 and VIX derivatives," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 2302-2319, November.
    11. Weiyi Liu & Song‐Ping Zhu, 2019. "Pricing variance swaps under the Hawkes jump‐diffusion process," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 635-655, June.
    12. Gonçalo Faria & João Correia-da-Silva, 2014. "A closed-form solution for options with ambiguity about stochastic volatility," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 125-159, July.
    13. Peter C. B. Phillips & Jun Yu, 2009. "Simulation-Based Estimation of Contingent-Claims Prices," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(9), pages 3669-3705, September.
    14. Jiling Cao & Teh Raihana Nazirah Roslan & Wenjun Zhang, 2018. "Pricing Variance Swaps in a Hybrid Model of Stochastic Volatility and Interest Rate with Regime-Switching," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 1359-1379, December.
    15. Han, Hyojin & Khrapov, Stanislav & Renault, Eric, 2020. "The leverage effect puzzle revisited: Identification in discrete time," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 230-258.
    16. Gong, Yaxian, 2020. "Credit default swap and two-sided moral hazard," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    17. Akira Yamazaki, 2014. "Pricing average options under time-changed Lévy processes," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 79-111, April.
    18. Thomas Kokholm & Martin Stisen, 2015. "Joint pricing of VIX and SPX options with stochastic volatility and jump models," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 16(1), pages 27-48, January.
    19. Li, Shaoyu & Zhang, Yuanyuan & Zhu, Chunhui, 2021. "A closed-form exact solution for pricing fixed-income variance swaps with affine-jump model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    20. Chenxu Li, 2014. "Closed-Form Expansion, Conditional Expectation, and Option Valuation," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 39(2), pages 487-516, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wsi:nmncxx:v:14:y:2018:i:03:n:s1793005718500230. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tai Tone Lim (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.worldscinet.com/nmnc/nmnc.shtml .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.