IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jfutmk/v42y2022i9p1644-1664.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Do VIX futures contribute to the valuation of VIX options?

Author

Listed:
  • Chen Tong
  • Zhuo Huang
  • Tianyi Wang

Abstract

As the volatility index (VIX) is nontradable, most investors use the exchange‐traded VIX futures to hedge their exposures in VIX options. However, the information role of VIX futures in pricing VIX options is not fully explored empirically. This paper derives two types of VIX option pricing formula using VIX index and VIX futures as state variables accordingly based on a simple discrete‐time VIX dynamics with long memory and asymmetric jumps. Empirical results show that models utilizing VIX futures significantly outperform competing models based on S&P 500 index (SPX) returns, realized volatility, or the VIX index itself. Our findings are robust in out‐of‐sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen Tong & Zhuo Huang & Tianyi Wang, 2022. "Do VIX futures contribute to the valuation of VIX options?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(9), pages 1644-1664, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:42:y:2022:i:9:p:1644-1664
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.22278
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22278
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/fut.22278?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang, 2016. "Exponential GARCH Modeling With Realized Measures of Volatility," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 269-287, April.
    2. Song, Zhaogang & Xiu, Dacheng, 2016. "A tale of two option markets: Pricing kernels and volatility risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 190(1), pages 176-196.
    3. Xinglin Yang, 2018. "Good jump, bad jump, and option valuation," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(9), pages 1097-1125, September.
    4. Grunbichler, Andreas & Longstaff, Francis A., 1996. "Valuing futures and options on volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(6), pages 985-1001, July.
    5. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2003. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 579-625, March.
    6. Mencía, Javier & Sentana, Enrique, 2013. "Valuation of VIX derivatives," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(2), pages 367-391.
    7. Jérôme Detemple & Carlton Osakwe, 2000. "The Valuation of Volatility Options," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 4(1), pages 21-50.
    8. Bo Jing & Shenghong Li & Yong Ma, 2020. "Pricing VIX options with volatility clustering," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 928-944, June.
    9. Chen Tong & Zhuo Huang, 2021. "Pricing VIX options with realized volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1180-1200, August.
    10. Jiling Cao & Xinfeng Ruan & Shu Su & Wenjun Zhang, 2020. "Pricing VIX derivatives with infinite‐activity jumps," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 329-354, March.
    11. Dimitris Psychoyios & George Dotsis & Raphael Markellos, 2010. "A jump diffusion model for VIX volatility options and futures," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 245-269, October.
    12. Zhuo Huang & Chen Tong & Tianyi Wang, 2020. "Which volatility model for option valuation in China? Empirical evidence from SSE 50 ETF options," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(17), pages 1866-1880, April.
    13. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
    14. Jaegi Jeon & Geonwoo Kim & Jeonggyu Huh, 2021. "Consistent and efficient pricing of SPX and VIX options under multiscale stochastic volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 559-576, May.
    15. Fangsheng Yin & Yang Bian & Tianyi Wang, 2021. "A short cut: Directly pricing VIX futures with discrete‐time long memory model and asymmetric jumps," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 458-477, April.
    16. S. G. Kou & Hui Wang, 2004. "Option Pricing Under a Double Exponential Jump Diffusion Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1178-1192, September.
    17. Robert JARROW & Andrew RUDD, 2008. "Approximate Option Valuation For Arbitrary Stochastic Processes," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 1, pages 9-31, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    18. Hongkai Cao & Alexandru Badescu & Zhenyu Cui & Sarath Kumar Jayaraman, 2020. "Valuation of VIX and target volatility options with affine GARCH models," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(12), pages 1880-1917, December.
    19. Kaeck, Andreas & Alexander, Carol, 2013. "Continuous-time VIX dynamics: On the role of stochastic volatility of volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 46-56.
    20. Heston, Steven L & Nandi, Saikat, 2000. "A Closed-Form GARCH Option Valuation Model," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(3), pages 585-625.
    21. Zhuo Huang & Chen Tong & Tianyi Wang, 2019. "VIX term structure and VIX futures pricing with realized volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 72-93, January.
    22. Park, Yang-Ho, 2016. "The effects of asymmetric volatility and jumps on the pricing of VIX derivatives," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 313-328.
    23. Bujar Huskaj & Marcus Nossman, 2013. "A Term Structure Model for VIX Futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 421-442, May.
    24. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang & Howard Howan Shek, 2012. "Realized GARCH: a joint model for returns and realized measures of volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 877-906, September.
    25. Tianyi Wang & Yiwen Shen & Yueting Jiang & Zhuo Huang, 2017. "Pricing the CBOE VIX Futures with the Heston–Nandi GARCH Model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 641-659, July.
    26. Lin, Yueh-Neng, 2013. "VIX option pricing and CBOE VIX Term Structure: A new methodology for volatility derivatives valuation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4432-4446.
    27. Guang-Hua Lian & Song-Ping Zhu, 2013. "Pricing VIX options with stochastic volatility and random jumps," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 36(1), pages 71-88, May.
    28. Zhuo Huang & Tianyi Wang & Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2017. "Option Pricing with the Realized GARCH Model: An Analytical Approximation Approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 328-358, April.
    29. Xingguo Luo & Jin E. Zhang & Wenjun Zhang, 2019. "Instantaneous squared VIX and VIX derivatives," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(10), pages 1193-1213, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen Tong & Zhuo Huang, 2021. "Pricing VIX options with realized volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1180-1200, August.
    2. Fangsheng Yin & Yang Bian & Tianyi Wang, 2021. "A short cut: Directly pricing VIX futures with discrete‐time long memory model and asymmetric jumps," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 458-477, April.
    3. Xingguo Luo & Jin E. Zhang & Wenjun Zhang, 2019. "Instantaneous squared VIX and VIX derivatives," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(10), pages 1193-1213, October.
    4. Qiang Liu & Yuhan Jiao & Shuxin Guo, 2022. "GARCH pricing and hedging of VIX options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1039-1066, June.
    5. Hongkai Cao & Alexandru Badescu & Zhenyu Cui & Sarath Kumar Jayaraman, 2020. "Valuation of VIX and target volatility options with affine GARCH models," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(12), pages 1880-1917, December.
    6. Gongyue Jiang & Gaoxiu Qiao & Feng Ma & Lu Wang, 2022. "Directly pricing VIX futures with observable dynamic jumps based on high‐frequency VIX," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1518-1548, August.
    7. Venter, Pierre J & Maré, Eben, 2022. "Price discovery in the volatility index option market: A univariate GARCH approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    8. Xiaoyu Tan & Chengxiang Wang & Wei Lin & Jin E. Zhang & Shenghong Li & Xuejun Zhao & Zili Zhang, 2021. "The term structure of the VXX option smirk: Pricing VXX option with a two‐factor model and asymmetry jumps," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 439-457, April.
    9. Chen, Xiaoyi & Feng, JianFen & Wang, Tianyi, 2023. "Pricing VIX futures: A framework with random level shifts," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    10. Wu, Xinyu & Zhao, An & Liu, Li, 2023. "Forecasting VIX using two-component realized EGARCH model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    11. Chen Tong & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang, 2022. "Option pricing with state‐dependent pricing kernel," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1409-1433, August.
    12. Wang, Qi & Wang, Zerong, 2020. "VIX valuation and its futures pricing through a generalized affine realized volatility model with hidden components and jump," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    13. Huang, Hung-Hsi & Lin, Shin-Hung & Wang, Chiu-Ping, 2019. "Reasonable evaluation of VIX options for the Taiwan stock index," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 111-130.
    14. Bo Jing & Shenghong Li & Yong Ma, 2020. "Pricing VIX options with volatility clustering," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 928-944, June.
    15. Gaoxiu Qiao & Gongyue Jiang, 2023. "VIX futures pricing based on high‐frequency VIX: A hybrid approach combining SVR with parametric models," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(9), pages 1238-1260, September.
    16. Jing, Bo & Li, Shenghong & Ma, Yong, 2021. "Consistent pricing of VIX options with the Hawkes jump-diffusion model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    17. Fang Liang & Lingshan Du & Zhuo Huang, 2023. "Option pricing with overnight and intraday volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(11), pages 1576-1614, November.
    18. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chen Tong, 2022. "Option Pricing with Time-Varying Volatility Risk Aversion," Papers 2204.06943, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
    19. Zhigang Tong, 2017. "Modelling VIX and VIX derivatives with reducible diffusions," International Journal of Bonds and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 3(2), pages 153-175.
    20. Gonzalez-Perez, Maria T., 2015. "Model-free volatility indexes in the financial literature: A review," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 141-159.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:42:y:2022:i:9:p:1644-1664. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0270-7314/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.