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Does the design of spot markets matter for the success of futures markets? Evidence from dairy futures

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  • Jędrzej Białkowski
  • Jan Koeman

Abstract

This study provides evidence of the importance of a well‐defined and functioning spot market for the success of the associated futures market. Our analysis of hedging effectiveness and hedge ratio persistence shows that none of the United States (US) spot market indices may be hedged effectively with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange nonfat dry milk futures at short hedging horizons, whereas the New Zealand (NZ) Stock Exchange whole milk powder futures contract is an effective hedge for the Global Dairy Trade spot pricing benchmark. Four important dimensions of spot market design are identified—timeliness, market‐based measurement, forward‐spot separation, and inclusiveness.

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  • Jędrzej Białkowski & Jan Koeman, 2018. "Does the design of spot markets matter for the success of futures markets? Evidence from dairy futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 373-389, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:38:y:2018:i:3:p:373-389
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.21883
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    Cited by:

    1. Białkowski, Jędrzej & Bohl, Martin T. & Perera, Devmali, 2023. "Commodity futures hedge ratios: A meta-analysis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    2. Leung, Henry & Furfaro, Frank, 2020. "Comovement of dairy product futures and firm value: returns and volatility," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(3), July.
    3. Scott, Ayesha & Schoen, Tilman & Fernandez-Perez, Adrian, 2020. "The Predictive Power of NZX Dairy Futures," 2020 Conference (64th), February 12-14, 2020, Perth, Western Australia 305230, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    4. Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Frijns, Bart & Gafiatullina, Ilnara & Tourani-Rad, Alireza, 2022. "Profit margin hedging in the New Zealand dairy farming industry," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    5. Trin Sittisawad & Pariyada Sukcharoensin, 2018. "Success Factors of Financial Derivatives Markets in Asia," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 25(2), pages 71-86, June.
    6. Pakorn Aschakulporn & Jin E. Zhang, 2021. "New Zealand whole milk powder options," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(S1), pages 2201-2246, April.
    7. Henry Leung & Frank Furfaro, 2020. "Comovement of dairy product futures and firm value: returns and volatility," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(3), pages 632-654, July.
    8. Perera, Devmali & Białkowski, Jędrzej & Bohl, Martin T., 2020. "Does the tea market require a futures contract? Evidence from the Sri Lankan tea market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Joëlle Miffre & Tilman Schoen & Ayesha Scott, 2023. "Do spot market auction data help price discovery?," Post-Print hal-04121327, HAL.
    10. Jędrzej Białkowski & Martin T. Bohl & Devmali Perera, 2022. "Commodity Futures Hedge Ratios: A Meta-Analysis," Working Papers in Economics 22/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    11. Torun, Erdost & Chang, Tzu-Pu & Chou, Ray Y., 2020. "Causal relationship between spot and futures prices with multiple time horizons: A nonparametric wavelet Granger causality test," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

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