Analysis Of High Frequency Data On The Warsaw Stock Exchange In The Context Of Efficient Market Hypothesis
AbstractThis paper focuses on one of the heavily tested issue in the contemporary finance, i.e. efficient market hypothesis (EMH). However, we try to find the answers to some fundamental questions basing on the analysis of high frequency (HF) data from the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE). We estimate model on daily and 5-minute data for WIG20 index futures trying to verify daily and hourly effects. After implementing the base methodology for such testing, additionally we take into account the results of regression with weights, i.e. robust regression is used that assigns the higher weight the better behaved observations. Our results indicate that we observe the day of the week effect and hour of the day effect in polish data. What is more important is the existence of strong open jump effect for all days except Wednesday and positive day effect for Monday. Considering the hour of the day effect we observe positive, persistent and significant open jump effect and the end of session effect. Aforementioned results confirm our initial hypothesis that Polish stock market is not efficient in the information sense.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova in its journal Journal of Applied Economic Sciences.
Volume (Year): 3 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3(5)_Fall2008 ()
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Web page: http://www2.spiruharet.ro/facultati/facultate.php?id=14
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high-frequency financial data; robust analysis; pre-weighting; efficient market hypothesis; calendar effects; intra-day effects; the open jump effect; the end of session effect; emerging markets;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
- C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models &bull Diffusion Processes
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- Stavarek, Daniel & Heryan, Tomas, 2012. "Day of the week effect in central European stock markets," MPRA Paper 38431, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun & Inna Makarenko, 2014. "Intraday Anomalies and Market Efficiency: A Trading Robot Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 4752, CESifo Group Munich.
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