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Analysis of HF data on the WSE in the context of EMH

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Author Info
Strawinski, Pawel
Slepaczuk, Robert

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Abstract

This paper focuses on one of the heavily tested issue in the contemporary finance, i.e. efficient market hypothesis (EMH). However, we try to find the answers to some fundamental questions basing on the analysis of high frequency (HF) data from the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE). We estimate model on daily and 5-minute data for WIG20 index futures trying to verify daily and hourly effects. After implementing the base methodology for such testing, additionally we take into account the results of regression with weights, i.e. robust regression is used that assigns the higher weight the better behaved observations. Our results indicate that we observe the day of the week effect and hour of the day effect in polish data. What is more important is the existence of strong open jump effect for all days except Wednesday and positive day effect for Monday. Considering the hour of the day effect we observe positive, persistent and significant open jump effect and the end of session effect. Aforementioned results confirm our initial hypothesis that Polish stock market is not efficient in the information sense.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 9532.

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Date of creation: Jun 2008
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:9532

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Related research
Keywords: high-frequency financial data robust analysis pre-weighting efficient market hypothesis calendar effects intra-day effects the open jump effect the end of session effect emerging markets.

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models

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