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The Market Price of Risk in Interest Rate Swaps: The Roles of Default and Liquidity Risks

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Author Info
Jun Liu (University of California, San Diego)
Francis A. Longstaff (University of California, Los Angeles and National Bureau of Economic Research)
Ravit E. Mandell (Citigroup)
Abstract

We study how the market prices the default and liquidity risks incorporated into interest rate swap spreads. We jointly model the Treasury, repo, and swap term structures using a five-factor affine framework and estimate the model by maximum likelihood. The credit spread is driven by a persistent liquidity process and a rapidly mean-reverting default intensity process. The credit premium for all but the shortest maturities is primarily compensation for liquidity risk. The term structure of liquidity premia increases steeply, while that of default premia is almost flat. Both liquidity and default premia vary significantly over time.

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File URL: http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/cgi-bin/resolve?JB790503
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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Business.

Volume (Year): 79 (2006)
Issue (Month): 5 (September)
Pages: 2337-2360
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:79:y:2006:i:5:p:2337-2360

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  1. Oliver Blaskowitz & Helmut Herwatz, 2008. "Adaptive Forecasting of the EURIBOR Swap Term Structure," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2008-017, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Song Han & Hao Zhou, 2008. "Effects of liquidity on the nondefault component of corporate yield spreads: evidence from intraday transactions data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-40, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  3. Francis A. Longstaff, 2009. "Municipal Debt and Marginal Tax Rates: Is there a Tax Premium in Asset Prices?," NBER Working Papers 14687, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Brenda González-Hermosillo, 2008. "Investors’ Risk Appetite and Global Financial Market Conditions," IMF Working Papers 08/85, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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