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Stochastic Volatility, Trading Volume, and the Daily Flow of Information

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Author Info
Jeff Fleming (Rice University)
Chris Kirby (Clemson University)
Barbara Ostdiek (Rice University)

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Abstract

We use state-space methods to investigate the relation between volume, volatility, and ARCH effects within a mixture of distributions hypothesis (MDH) framework. Most recent studies of the MDH fit AR(1) specifications that require the information flow to be highly persistent. Using a more general specification, we find evidence of a large nonpersistent component of volatility that is closely related to the contemporaneous nonpersistent component of volume. However, in contrast to studies that fit volume-augmented GARCH models, we find no evidence that volume subsumes ARCH effects. Since volume-augmented GARCH models are subject to simultaneity bias, our findings should be more robust than these prior results.

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File URL: http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/cgi-bin/resolve?JB790318
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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Business.

Volume (Year): 79 (2006)
Issue (Month): 3 (May)
Pages: 1551-1590
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:79:y:2006:i:3:p:1551-1590

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Postal: The University of Chicago Press, Journals Division, P.O. Box 37005 Chicago, IL 60637
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  1. Ai-ru (Meg) Cheng & Yin-Wong Cheung, 2008. "Return, Trading Volume, and Market Depth in Currency Futures Markets," Working Papers 202008, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research. [Downloadable!]
  2. Wai Fong & Wing Wong, 2006. "The modified mixture of distributions model: a revisit," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 2(2), pages 167-178, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. J. Isaac Miller & Yoosoon Chang & Joon Y. Park, 2005. "Extracting a Common Stochastic Trend:Theories with Some Applications," Working Papers 0507, Department of Economics, University of Missouri, revised 18 Aug 2005. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Md. Arifur Rahman, 2007. "The Information Content of Cross-sectional Volatility for Future Market Volatility: Evidence from Australian Equity Returns," Frontiers in Finance and Economics, Lille Graduate School of Management, vol. 4(1), pages 91-124, June. [Downloadable!]
  5. Matthew Pritsker, 2005. "Large investors: implications for equilibrium asset, returns, shock absorption, and liquidity," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-36, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-2.

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