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U.S.-European Interest Rate Linkage: A Time Series Analysis for West Germany, Switzerland, and the United States

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Author Info
Kirchgassner, Gebhard
Wolters, Jurgen

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Abstract

The authors investigate whether there was an international linkage of interest rates between the United States, West Germany, and Switzerland during the period of flexible exchange rates, 1974-84. Euro-market rates and bond-market rates are considered during the two subperiods of falling and increasing U.S. Dollar/DM exchange rates, 1974 to 1978 and 1979 to 1984. Spectral analysis and Granger causality tests are applied and trivariate autoregressive models are estimated. It is shown that a strong linkage exists during the second period, but during the first subperiod there was no, or only a weakly-pronounced, linkage. Copyright 1987 by MIT Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by MIT Press in its journal Review of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 69 (1987)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 675-84
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Handle: RePEc:tpr:restat:v:69:y:1987:i:4:p:675-84

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  1. Gerd Hansen, 1996. "The domestic term structure and international interest rate linkages: A cointegration analysis," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 132(4), pages 675-689, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Jian Yang, 2005. "Government bond market linkages: evidence from Europe," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(9), pages 599-610, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Clemens J.M. Kool & John A. Tatom, 1988. "International linkages in the term structure of interest rates," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Jul, pages 30-43. [Downloadable!]
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