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Equilibrium contracts and boundedly rational expectations

Author

Listed:
  • Schumacher, Heiner

    (Department of Economics, KU Leuven)

  • Thysen, Heidi Christina

    (Department of Economics, London School of Economics)

Abstract

We study a principal-agent framework in which the agent forms beliefs about the principal's project based on a misspecified subjective model. She fits this model to the objective probability distribution to predict output under alternative actions. Misspecifications in the subjective model may lead to biased beliefs. However, under mild restrictions, the agent has correct beliefs on the equilibrium path so that the optimal contract is non-exploitative. This allows for a behavioral version of the informativeness principle: The optimal contract conditions on an additional variable only if it is informative about the action according to the agent's subjective model. We further characterize when misspecifications affect the optimal contract. One implication of this characterization is that the scope for belief biases depends on the agent's job, e.g., her position in the hierarchy.

Suggested Citation

  • Schumacher, Heiner & Thysen, Heidi Christina, 2022. "Equilibrium contracts and boundedly rational expectations," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 17(1), January.
    • Handle: RePEc:the:publsh:4231
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    3. Zhengqing Gui & Yangguang Huang & Xiaojian Zhao, 2020. "Financial Fraud and Investor Awareness," HKUST CEP Working Papers Series 202002, HKUST Center for Economic Policy.
    4. Canidio, Andrea & Karle, Heiko, 2022. "The focusing effect in negotiations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 1-20.
    5. Fries, Tilman & Barron, Kai, 2023. "Narrative Persuasion," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277691, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Andreas Hefti & Shuo Liu & Armin Schmutzler, 2022. "Preferences, Confusion and Competition," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 132(645), pages 1852-1881.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian networks; principal-agent relationship; bounded rationality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D03 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Behavioral Microeconomics: Underlying Principles
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • D86 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Economics of Contract Law

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