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The impact of the unilateral EU commitment on the stability of international climate agreements

Author

Listed:
  • THIERRY BRÉCHET
  • JOHAN EYCKMANS
  • FRANÇOIS GERARD
  • PHILIPPE MARBAIX
  • HENRY TULKENS
  • JEAN-PASCAL VAN YPERSELE

Abstract

The negotiation strategy of the European Union was analysed with respect to the formation of an international climate agreement for the post-2012 era. Game theory was employed to explore the incentives for key players in the climate policy arena to join future climate agreements. A - 20% unilateral commitment strategy by the EU was compared with a multilateral - 30% emission reduction strategy for all Annex-B countries. Using a numerical integrated assessment climate-economy simulation model, we found that leakage, in the sense of strategic policy reactions on emissions, was negligible. The EU strategy to reduce emissions by 30% (compared with 1990 levels) by 2020, if other Annex-B countries follow suit, does not induce the participation of the USA with a comparable reduction commitment. However, we argue that the original EU proposal can be reshaped so as to stabilize a larger and more ambitious climate coalition than the Kyoto Protocol in its first commitment period.

Suggested Citation

  • Thierry Bréchet & Johan Eyckmans & François Gerard & Philippe Marbaix & Henry Tulkens & Jean-Pascal Van Ypersele, 2010. "The impact of the unilateral EU commitment on the stability of international climate agreements," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 148-166, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:tcpoxx:v:10:y:2010:i:2:p:148-166
    DOI: 10.3763/cpol.2009.0643
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Loreta Stankeviciute & Patrick Criqui, 2008. "Energy and climate policies to 2020 : the impacts of the european " 20/20/20 " approach," Post-Print halshs-00226208, HAL.
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    Cited by:

    1. Thierry Brechet and Henry Tulkens, 2015. "Climate Policies: A Burden, or a Gain?," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    2. Luisito Bertinelli & Amer Tabakovic & Luca Marchiori & Benteng Zou, 2015. "Transboundary Pollution Abatement: The Impact of Unilateral Commitment in Differential Games," DEM Discussion Paper Series 15-02, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
    3. Thierry Bréchet & François Gerard & Henry Tulkens, 2011. "Efficiency vs. Stability in Climate Coalitions: A Conceptual and Computational Appraisal," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1), pages 49-76.
    4. Thierry Bréchet & Carmen Camacho & Vladimir Veliov, 2014. "Model predictive control, the economy, and the issue of global warming," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 220(1), pages 25-48, September.
    5. Schwerhoff, Gregor, 2013. "Leadership and International Climate Cooperation," Climate Change and Sustainable Development 162380, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    6. BRECHET, Thierry & THENIE, Julien & ZEIMES, Thibaut & ZUBER, Stéphane, 2010. "The benefits of cooperation under uncertainty: the case of climate change," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2010062, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    7. Vicki Duscha & Joachim Schleich, 2013. "Can no-lose targets contribute to a 2°C target?," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 305-327, May.
    8. Birgit Bednar-Friedl, 2012. "Climate policy targets in emerging and industrialized economies: the influence of technological differences, environmental preferences and propensity to save," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 39(2), pages 191-215, May.
    9. Gregor Schwerhoff, 2016. "The economics of leadership in climate change mitigation," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 196-214, March.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C7 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory
    • H4 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods
    • Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics

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