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Causal relationship between FDI and poverty reduction in South Africa

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  • M.T. Magombeyi
  • N.M. Odhiambo

Abstract

This study investigates the causal relationship between poverty reduction and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in South Africa using time-series data from 1980 to 2014. The main objective of this study is to establish the direction of causality between FDI and poverty reduction, which is important to policy-makers as it identifies which variable to target first. Gross domestic product is included as an intermittent variable giving a trivariate framework. Employing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration and ECM-based causality tests, the results from this study reveal a distinct unidirectional causality from poverty reduction to FDI in both the short run and the long run when poverty reduction is measured by life expectancy and infant mortality rate. However, the study failed to find any causality, irrespective of the time considered, when poverty reduction is measured by household consumption expenditure. It can be concluded therefore, that the causal relationship between FDI and poverty reduction is sensitive to the proxy used to measure the level of poverty reduction.

Suggested Citation

  • M.T. Magombeyi & N.M. Odhiambo, 2017. "Causal relationship between FDI and poverty reduction in South Africa," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1357901-135, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:5:y:2017:i:1:p:1357901
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2017.1357901
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    Cited by:

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    2. Chen Gao & Chengcheng J. Fei & Bruce A. McCarl & David J. Leatham, 2020. "Identifying Vulnerable Households Using Machine Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-18, July.
    3. Shastri, Shruti & Giri, A.K. & Mohapatra, Geetilaxmi, 2022. "Foreign capital inflows and poverty linkages in South Asia: Do the forms of capital inflows matter?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(3).
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    5. MT Musakwa, 2023. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Influence Poverty In Zimbabwe? A Multivariate Approach," Working Papers AESRI-2023-26, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Aug 2023.
    6. AIGHEYISI Oziengbe Scott & OLIGBI O. Blessing, 2019. "Trade Openness, Foreign Direct Investment And Life Expectancy In Nigeria," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(2), pages 351-365, December.
    7. Folorunsho M. Ajide & James T. Dada, 2023. "Poverty, entrepreneurship, and economic growth in Africa," Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(2), pages 199-226, June.
    8. Dhrifi, Abdelhafidh & Jaziri, Raouf & Alnahdi, Saleh, 2020. "Does foreign direct investment and environmental degradation matter for poverty? Evidence from developing countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 13-21.
    9. James Temitope Dada & Taiwo Akinlo, 2021. "Foreign direct investment and poverty reduction in sub-Saharan Africa: does environmental degradation matter?," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, December.
    10. Kunofiwa TSAURAI, 2018. "Investigating The Impact Of Foreign Direct Investment On Poverty Reduction Efforts In Africa," Revista Galega de Economía, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business., vol. 27(2), pages 139-154.

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