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Approximately predicting the cost and duration of school reconstruction projects in Taiwan

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Author Info
Wei Tong Chen
Ying-Hua Huang
Abstract

Regression and neural network models have been developed to predict the cost and duration of projects for the reconstruction of schools which must be quickly rebuilt. Data for the school reconstruction projects in central Taiwan, which received the most serious damage from the Chi-Chi Earthquake, were collected and analysed. The analytical results demonstrate that the floor area provides a good basis for estimating the cost and duration of school reconstruction projects, and suggest that the neural network model with back-propagation learning technique is a feasible approach that yields better prediction results than the regression model for school reconstruction projects.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Construction Management & Economics.

Volume (Year): 24 (2006)
Issue (Month): 12 (December)
Pages: 1231-1239
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Handle: RePEc:taf:conmgt:v:24:y:2006:i:12:p:1231-1239

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Related research
Keywords: Cost and duration; reconstruction project; regression analysis; neural networks;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Goh Bee-Hua, 1999. "An evaluation of the accuracy of the multiple regression approach in forecasting sectoral construction demand in Singapore," Construction Management & Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 231-241, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Daniel W. M. Chan, Mohan M. Kumaraswamy, 1999. "Modelling and predicting construction durations in Hong Kong public housing," Construction Management & Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 351-362, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Trefor P. Williams, 2002. "Predicting completed project cost using bidding data," Construction Management & Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 225-235, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Margaret W. Emsley & David J. Lowe & A. Roy Duff & Anthony Harding & Adam Hickson, 2002. "Data modelling and the application of a neural network approach to the prediction of total construction costs," Construction Management & Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 465-472, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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