IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/wirtsc/v100y2020i4d10.1007_s10273-020-2634-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Schneller Ausstieg oder bedachte Lockerung?
[Quick Exit or Deliberate Loosening? On the Future of Contact Restrictions in the COVID-19Crisis]

Author

Listed:
  • Sebastian Dullien

    (Institut für Makroökonomie u. Konjunkturforschung)

  • Alexander Herzog-Stein

    (Institut für Makroökonomie u. Konjunkturforschung)

  • Peter Hohlfeld

    (Institut für Makroökonomie u. Konjunkturforschung)

  • Sven Schreiber

    (Institut für Makroökonomie u. Konjunkturforschung)

  • Silke Tober

    (Institut für Makroökonomie u. Konjunkturforschung)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Welche Bedeutung hat eine Lockerung der Kontaktbeschränkungen für die Erholung der deutschen Wirtschaft, und welche Schlussfolgerungen für das angemessene Niveau der Kontaktbeschränkungen sind in den kommenden Monaten zu ziehen? Um diese Fragen zu beantworten, wird abgeschätzt, welche Bedeutung die Maßnahmen zur Kontaktbeschränkung, die von Bund und Ländern seit Mitte März 2020 auf den Weg gebracht worden sind, für den derzeit zu beobachtenden Einbruch der Wirtschaftsaktivität in Deutschland tatsächlich haben. Zudem werden die verschiedenen plausiblen Szenarien zur Infektionsverbreitung und -eindämmung unter verschiedenen Optionen zur Lockerung der Kontaktbeschränkungen dargestellt.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastian Dullien & Alexander Herzog-Stein & Peter Hohlfeld & Sven Schreiber & Silke Tober, 2020. "Schneller Ausstieg oder bedachte Lockerung? [Quick Exit or Deliberate Loosening? On the Future of Contact Restrictions in the COVID-19Crisis]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(4), pages 285-290, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:100:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s10273-020-2634-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-020-2634-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10273-020-2634-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10273-020-2634-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alexander Herzog-Stein & Fabian Lindner & Simon Sturn, 2018. "The German employment miracle in the Great Recession: the significance and institutional foundations of temporary working-time reductions," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 70(1), pages 206-224.
    2. Knut Røed, 1997. "Hysteresis in Unemployment," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(4), pages 389-418, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Engelbert Stockhammer & Simon Sturn, 2012. "The impact of monetary policy on unemployment hysteresis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(21), pages 2743-2756, July.
    2. Kurmaş Akdoğan, 2017. "Unemployment hysteresis and structural change in Europe," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1415-1440, December.
    3. Mariam Camarero & Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre & Cecilio Tamarit, 2004. "Testing for hysteresis in unemployment in OECD countries. New evidence using stationarity panel tests with breaks†," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces 2004/40, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
    4. S. Haincourt. & M. Mogliani., 2012. "Has the 2008-2009 recession increased the structural share of unemployment in the euro area?," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 25, pages 63-80, Spring.
    5. Aysegul Corakci & Tolga Omay & Mübariz Hasanov, 2022. "Hysteresis and stochastic convergence in Eurozone unemployment rates: evidence from panel unit roots with smooth breaks and asymmetric dynamics," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(1), pages 11-55, March.
    6. Maarten Dossche & Andrea Gavazzi & Vivien Lewis, 2023. "Labor Adjustment and Productivity in the OECD," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 111-130, January.
    7. Jong-seok Oh, 2023. "Stabilizing the Macroeconomy with Labor Market Policies," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 39, pages 205-240.
    8. Nora Albu & Heike Joebges & Rudolf Zwiener, 2018. "Increasing competitiveness at any price?," IMK Working Paper 192-2018, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    9. Matteo Lanzafame, 2010. "The nature of regional unemployment in Italy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 877-895, December.
    10. Magnus Gustavsson & Pär Österholm, 2010. "The presence of unemployment hysteresis in the OECD: what can we learn from out-of-sample forecasts?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 779-792, June.
    11. Mariam Camarero & Josep Lluís Carrion‐i‐Silvestre & Cecilio Tamarit, 2006. "Testing for Hysteresis in Unemployment in OECD Countries: New Evidence using Stationarity Panel Tests with Breaks," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 68(2), pages 167-182, April.
    12. Bayer Christian & Jüßen Falko, 2007. "Convergence in West German Regional Unemployment Rates," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 8(4), pages 510-535, December.
    13. Maxim Ananiev & Sergei Guriev, 2014. "The Effect of Income on Trust: the Evidence from 2009 Crisis in Russia," Working Papers hal-03429914, HAL.
    14. Pérez-Alonso Alicia & Di Sanzo Silvestro, 2010. "Unemployment and Hysteresis: A Nonlinear Unobserved Components Approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 1-29, December.
    15. Schneider, Nicolas & Strielkowski, Wadim, 2023. "Modelling the unit root properties of electricity data—A general note on time-domain applications," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 618(C).
    16. Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2019. "Unemployment rate hysteresis and the great recession: exploring the metropolitan evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 61-79, January.
    17. Silvestro DI SANZO & Alicia PEREZ-ALONSO, "undated". "Unemployment and Hysteresis: A Nonlinear Unobserved Components A Nonlinear Unobserved Components A Nonlinear Unobserved Components A Nonlinear Unobserved Components A Nonlinear Unobserved Components A," Working Papers wp2010-10, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
    18. Jean françois Hoarau & Claude Lopez & Michel Paul, 2010. "Short Note on the Unemployment Rate of the “French overseas regions”," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(3), pages 2321-2329.
    19. Robert Calvert Jump & Paul Levine, 2021. "Hysteresis in the New Keynesian three equation model," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0821, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    20. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/8lt2edmul9geov3cf3fqf7h92 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. De-Chih Liu, 2011. "Hysteresis Hypothesis in Job Creation and Destruction: Evidence from the U.S," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 12(2), pages 389-409, November.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H00 - Public Economics - - General - - - General
    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:100:y:2020:i:4:d:10.1007_s10273-020-2634-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.