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Analysis and Forecasting of Waste Management Processes in Russia

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  • V. M. Gil’mundinov

    (Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences
    Novosibirsk State University)

  • T. O. Tagaeva

    (Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences
    Novosibirsk State University)

  • A. I. Boksler

    (Novosibirsk State University)

Abstract

The management of production and consumption wastes has become one of the acute environmental problems in modern Russia. Its solution is important not only ecologically but also economically, since new primary products, materials, and energy resources are formed in the course of waste processing. It is obvious that Russian technologies in the field of waste processing lag behind those in developed countries, where 80–87% of generated waste is utilized and used (in Russia, it is no more than 60%). This paper discusses methodological approaches to the analysis and forecasting of processes occurring in the field of production and consumption waste management. The results of forecasting the volume of accumulated waste using a dynamic model of intersectoral balance with an environmental block are presented. Forecast calculations showed that an increase in the share of waste use and neutralization up to 75% by 2024 will reduce the growth rate of accumulated waste by more than twofold.

Suggested Citation

  • V. M. Gil’mundinov & T. O. Tagaeva & A. I. Boksler, 2020. "Analysis and Forecasting of Waste Management Processes in Russia," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 92-98, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:31:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1134_s1075700720010074
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700720010074
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A. E. Kontorovich & L. V. Eder & I. V. Filimonova & S. M. Nikitenko, 2018. "Key Problems in the Development of the Power of Siberia Project," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 92-100, January.
    2. Fremstad, Anders, 2017. "Does Craigslist Reduce Waste? Evidence from California and Florida," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 135-143.
    3. B. N. Porfiryev, 2018. "The Green Factor of Economic Growth in Russia and the World," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 29(5), pages 455-461, September.
    4. Abbott, Andrew & Nandeibam, Shasikanta & O'Shea, Lucy, 2017. "The Displacement Effect of Convenience: The Case of Recycling," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 159-168.
    5. Rogge, Nicky & De Jaeger, Simon & Lavigne, Carolien, 2017. "Waste Performance of NUTS 2-regions in the EU: A Conditional Directional Distance Benefit-of-the-Doubt Model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 19-32.
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