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Surge dynamics of disaster displaced populations in temporary urban shelters: future challenges and management issues

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  • Md Shahab Uddin

    (Asian Institute of Technology (AIT))

  • Mokbul Morshed Ahmad

    (Asian Institute of Technology (AIT))

  • Pennung Warnitchai

    (Asian Institute of Technology (AIT))

Abstract

Shelters are additional arrangements in a complex urban system to accommodate displaced populations following any major hazards. Standard shelters are designed to provide basic services to support a normal life by ensuring the security, privacy, and dignity of the affected community. In a complex urban system, rather than staying as an isolated entity, shelter facilities act as an integrated part of urban dynamics influenced by other elements and leaving challenges for future management. This research found three major domains—urban settlements, urban slums, and peri-urban areas from where population surge directed to the temporary shelter in Ratna Park/Tundikhel. It is also observed that drivers of population surge are unique for different domains based on disaster consequences and socio-economic conditions of the communities. Quality of basic survives and their accessibility influenced in evacuation decision making by the disaster-displaced population. Based on the observations and findings, this article proposed two conceptual models/frameworks: (1) comprehensive shelter surge model, and (2) system dynamic model for temporary shelter operation and management in the urban environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Md Shahab Uddin & Mokbul Morshed Ahmad & Pennung Warnitchai, 2018. "Surge dynamics of disaster displaced populations in temporary urban shelters: future challenges and management issues," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(1), pages 201-225, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:94:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3383-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-018-3383-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Md Shahab Uddin & Pennung Warnitchai, 2020. "Decision support for infrastructure planning: a comprehensive location–allocation model for fire station in complex urban system," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(3), pages 1475-1496, July.

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