IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v75y2015i3p2885-2903.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Use of four drought indices for evaluating drought characteristics under climate change in Shaanxi, China: 1951–2012

Author

Listed:
  • Rengui Jiang
  • Jiancang Xie
  • Hailong He
  • Jungang Luo
  • Jiwei Zhu

Abstract

Drought severity was simulated with four drought indices to examine the impacts of climate change on drought conditions in Shaanxi province over the period 1951 to 2012. The drought metrics analyzed were based on the original Palmer drought severity index (orPDSI), self-calibrated PDSI (scPDSI), the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI). Both Thornthwaite (Thor) and Penman–Monteith (PM) parameterizations were used to calculate potential evapotranspiration (PET), and the differences between two PET estimators were studied. Nonparametric Mann–Kendall monotonic test was used to examine the trends of hydroclimatic data. Series of drought indices were compared at five meteorological stations with different climate characteristics, located in the north, central and south parts of Shaanxi province, respectively. Effects of climate change in drought conditions were investigated with hypothetical progressive precipitation decrease (−15 %) and temperature increase (2 °C). The results showed that there was discrepancy between PET estimated using the Thor and PM parameterization estimators, while the SPEI calculated with the two PET estimators are found to be similar. The SPEI has the combined advantages over the scPDSI and the SPI, considering the effect of temperature variability on drought severity and its multi-scalar characteristic, while scPDSI has an inherent approximately 12-month time scale. The Pearson’s correlation is used to compare the three pairs of drought indices combinations at different time scales. Under climate change conditions, the drought severity increases with the decline of precipitation and higher water demand as a result of the temperature increase based on the metrics of the scPDSI, the SPI and the SPEI. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Rengui Jiang & Jiancang Xie & Hailong He & Jungang Luo & Jiwei Zhu, 2015. "Use of four drought indices for evaluating drought characteristics under climate change in Shaanxi, China: 1951–2012," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(3), pages 2885-2903, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:75:y:2015:i:3:p:2885-2903
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-014-1468-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11069-014-1468-x
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-014-1468-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. N/A, 2004. "Index for 2004," European Union Politics, , vol. 5(4), pages 511-512, December.
    2. Aiguo Dai, 2013. "Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(1), pages 52-58, January.
    3. Aiguo Dai, 2013. "Erratum: Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(2), pages 171-171, February.
    4. Xining Zhao & Pute Wu, 2013. "Meteorological drought over the Chinese Loess Plateau: 1971–2010," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 67(2), pages 951-961, June.
    5. Bin Li & Hongbo Su & Fang Chen & Jianjun Wu & Jianwei Qi, 2013. "The changing characteristics of drought in China from 1982 to 2005," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 68(2), pages 723-743, September.
    6. Sergio Vicente-Serrano, 2007. "Evaluating the Impact of Drought Using Remote Sensing in a Mediterranean, Semi-arid Region," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 40(1), pages 173-208, January.
    7. Justin Sheffield & Eric F. Wood & Michael L. Roderick, 2012. "Little change in global drought over the past 60 years," Nature, Nature, vol. 491(7424), pages 435-438, November.
    8. Jane Qiu, 2010. "China drought highlights future climate threats," Nature, Nature, vol. 465(7295), pages 142-143, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Zare & Shahid Azam & David Sauchyn & Soumik Basu, 2023. "Assessment of Meteorological and Agricultural Drought Indices under Climate Change Scenarios in the South Saskatchewan River Basin, Canada," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-26, March.
    2. Karbasi, Masoud & Jamei, Mehdi & Malik, Anurag & Kisi, Ozgur & Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, 2023. "Multi-steps drought forecasting in arid and humid climate environments: Development of integrative machine learning model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    3. Muhammad Waseem & Muhammad Ajmal & Joo Heon Lee & Tae-Woong Kim, 2016. "Multivariate Drought Assessment Considering the Antecedent Drought Conditions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(12), pages 4221-4231, September.
    4. Adil Dilawar & Baozhang Chen & Arfan Arshad & Lifeng Guo & Muhammad Irfan Ehsan & Yawar Hussain & Alphonse Kayiranga & Simon Measho & Huifang Zhang & Fei Wang & Xiaohong Sun & Mengyu Ge, 2021. "Towards Understanding Variability in Droughts in Response to Extreme Climate Conditions over the Different Agro-Ecological Zones of Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-28, June.
    5. Rui Zhang & Taotao Chen & Daocai Chi, 2020. "Global Sensitivity Analysis of the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index at Different Time Scales in Jilin Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-19, February.
    6. Xiaolong Feng & Mingyue Liu & Xuexi Huo & Wanglin Ma, 2017. "What Motivates Farmers’ Adaptation to Climate Change? The Case of Apple Farmers of Shaanxi in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-15, March.
    7. Yue Zhang & Kai Huang & Yajuan Yu & Tingting Hu & Jing Wei, 2015. "Impact of climate change and drought regime on water footprint of crop production: the case of Lake Dianchi Basin, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(1), pages 549-566, October.
    8. Jun Yin & Zhe Yuan & Ting Li, 2021. "The Spatial-Temporal Variation Characteristics of Natural Vegetation Drought in the Yangtze River Source Region, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-24, February.
    9. Jie Wu & Jun-Fei Chu & Liang Liang, 2016. "Target setting and allocation of carbon emissions abatement based on DEA and closest target: an application to 20 APEC economies," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(1), pages 279-296, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano & Miquel Tomas-Burguera & Santiago Beguería & Fergus Reig & Borja Latorre & Marina Peña-Gallardo & M. Yolanda Luna & Ana Morata & José C. González-Hidalgo, 2017. "A High Resolution Dataset of Drought Indices for Spain," Data, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-10, June.
    2. Ruiwen Zhang & Chengyi Zhao & Xiaofei Ma & Karthikeyan Brindha & Qifei Han & Chaofan Li & Xiaoning Zhao, 2019. "Projected Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Drought under Global Warming in Central Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-19, August.
    3. Zheng Li & Tao Zhou & Xiang Zhao & Kaicheng Huang & Shan Gao & Hao Wu & Hui Luo, 2015. "Assessments of Drought Impacts on Vegetation in China with the Optimal Time Scales of the Climatic Drought Index," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-20, July.
    4. Nam, Won-Ho & Hayes, Michael J. & Svoboda, Mark D. & Tadesse, Tsegaye & Wilhite, Donald A., 2015. "Drought hazard assessment in the context of climate change for South Korea," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 106-117.
    5. Ge, Yan & Cai, Ximing & Zhu, Tingju & Ringler, Claudia, 2016. "Drought frequency change: An assessment in northern India plains," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 111-121.
    6. Ashenafi Yimam Kassaye & Guangcheng Shao & Xiaojun Wang & Shiqing Wu, 2021. "Quantification of drought severity change in Ethiopia during 1952–2017," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 5096-5121, April.
    7. Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano & Tim R. McVicar & Diego G. Miralles & Yuting Yang & Miquel Tomas‐Burguera, 2020. "Unraveling the influence of atmospheric evaporative demand on drought and its response to climate change," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(2), March.
    8. Lei Zou & Jun Xia & Dunxian She, 2018. "Analysis of Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Hydrological Drought: a Case Study in the Wei River Basin, China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(4), pages 1421-1438, March.
    9. Brigitte Mueller & Xuebin Zhang, 2016. "Causes of drying trends in northern hemispheric land areas in reconstructed soil moisture data," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 255-267, January.
    10. Subhasis Mitra & Puneet Srivastava, 2017. "Spatiotemporal variability of meteorological droughts in southeastern USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(3), pages 1007-1038, April.
    11. Wen Wang & Ye Zhu & Rengui Xu & Jintao Liu, 2015. "Drought severity change in China during 1961–2012 indicated by SPI and SPEI," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(3), pages 2437-2451, February.
    12. A. L. Kay & V. A. Bell & B. P. Guillod & R. G. Jones & A. C. Rudd, 2018. "National-scale analysis of low flow frequency: historical trends and potential future changes," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 147(3), pages 585-599, April.
    13. Alison C. Rudd & A. L. Kay & V. A. Bell, 2019. "National-scale analysis of future river flow and soil moisture droughts: potential changes in drought characteristics," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 156(3), pages 323-340, October.
    14. Alen Shrestha & Md Mafuzur Rahaman & Ajay Kalra & Rohit Jogineedi & Pankaj Maheshwari, 2020. "Climatological Drought Forecasting Using Bias Corrected CMIP6 Climate Data: A Case Study for India," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-26, April.
    15. Panagiotis D. Oikonomou & Christos A. Karavitis & Demetrios E. Tsesmelis & Elpida Kolokytha & Rodrigo Maia, 2020. "Drought Characteristics Assessment in Europe over the Past 50 Years," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(15), pages 4757-4772, December.
    16. Moursi, Hossam & Kim, Daeha & Kaluarachchi, Jagath J., 2017. "A probabilistic assessment of agricultural water scarcity in a semi-arid and snowmelt-dominated river basin under climate change," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 142-152.
    17. Shan Jiang & Jian Zhou & Guojie Wang & Qigen Lin & Ziyan Chen & Yanjun Wang & Buda Su, 2022. "Cropland Exposed to Drought Is Overestimated without Considering the CO 2 Effect in the Arid Climatic Region of China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-21, June.
    18. L. Lin & A. Gettelman & Q. Fu & Y. Xu, 2018. "Simulated differences in 21st century aridity due to different scenarios of greenhouse gases and aerosols," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 146(3), pages 407-422, February.
    19. Margaret Sugg & Jennifer Runkle & Ronnie Leeper & Hannah Bagli & Andrew Golden & Leah Hart Handwerger & Tatiana Magee & Camila Moreno & Rhiannon Reed-Kelly & Michelle Taylor & Sarah Woolard, 2020. "A scoping review of drought impacts on health and society in North America," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(3), pages 1177-1195, October.
    20. Gregory McCabe & David Wolock, 2015. "Increasing Northern Hemisphere water deficit," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 132(2), pages 237-249, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:75:y:2015:i:3:p:2885-2903. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.