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Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models

Author

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  • Aiguo Dai

    (National Center for Atmospheric Research
    The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the US National Science Foundation
    University at Albany, 1400 Washington Avenue, Albany, New York 12222, USA)

Abstract

Historical records show increased aridity over many land areas since 1950. This study looks at observations and model projections from 1923 to 2010, to test the ability of models to predict future drought conditions. Models are able to capture the greenhouse-gas forcing and El Niño–Southern Oscillation mode for historical periods, which inspires confidence in their projections of drought.

Suggested Citation

  • Aiguo Dai, 2013. "Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(1), pages 52-58, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:1:d:10.1038_nclimate1633
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1633
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