IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/joecth/v64y2017i2d10.1007_s00199-016-0979-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Equilibrium prices and trade under ambiguous volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Patrick Beissner

    (Australian National University)

Abstract

This article considers general equilibrium economies with a primitive uncertainty model that features ambiguity about continuous-time volatility. For the resulting non-equivalence of priors, an appropriate commodity-price space is introduced. Agents are heterogeneous in the size of captured ambiguity, endowment and preference for risk and ambiguity. Preferences are of variational type à la Maccheroni et al. (Econometrica 74(6):1447–1498, 2006). One important implication involves a problematic aspect of linear equilibrium price systems. Positive payoffs are for free on events outside the domain of the representing equilibrium pricing measure. Moreover, when aggregate risk is present and aggregate ambiguity is absent, the insurance properties of optimal allocations depend on the notion of ambiguity-free payoffs.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Beissner, 2017. "Equilibrium prices and trade under ambiguous volatility," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(2), pages 213-238, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:joecth:v:64:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s00199-016-0979-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s00199-016-0979-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00199-016-0979-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00199-016-0979-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Antoine Billot & Alain Chateauneuf & Itzhak Gilboa & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2000. "Sharing Beliefs: Between Agreeing and Disagreeing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(3), pages 685-694, May.
    2. Dana, Rose-Anne & Riedel, Frank, 2013. "Intertemporal equilibria with Knightian uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 148(4), pages 1582-1605.
    3. Luciano Castro & Alain Chateauneuf, 2011. "Ambiguity aversion and trade," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 48(2), pages 243-273, October.
    4. Larry G. Epstein & Shaolin Ji, 2013. "Ambiguous Volatility and Asset Pricing in Continuous Time," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(7), pages 1740-1786.
    5. Soner, H. Mete & Touzi, Nizar & Zhang, Jianfeng, 2011. "Martingale representation theorem for the G-expectation," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 265-287, February.
    6. Martins-da-Rocha, V. Filipe & Riedel, Frank, 2010. "On equilibrium prices in continuous time," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 1086-1112, May.
    7. Li, Xinpeng & Peng, Shige, 2011. "Stopping times and related Itô's calculus with G-Brownian motion," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(7), pages 1492-1508, July.
    8. Darrell Duffie & Chi-Fu Huang, 2005. "Implementing Arrow-Debreu Equilibria By Continuous Trading Of Few Long-Lived Securities," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 4, pages 97-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    9. Ross Williams, 2013. "Introduction," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 46(4), pages 460-461, December.
    10. Dana, Rose Anne, 1993. "Existence and Uniqueness of Equilibria When Preferences Are Additively Separable," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 953-957, July.
    11. Epstein, Larry G. & Marinacci, Massimo, 2007. "Mutual absolute continuity of multiple priors," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 137(1), pages 716-720, November.
    12. Patrick Bei{ss}ner, 2012. "Coherent Price Systems and Uncertainty-Neutral Valuation," Papers 1202.6632, arXiv.org.
    13. Fabio Maccheroni & Massimo Marinacci & Aldo Rustichini, 2006. "Ambiguity Aversion, Robustness, and the Variational Representation of Preferences," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(6), pages 1447-1498, November.
    14. Strzalecki, Tomasz & Werner, Jan, 2011. "Efficient allocations under ambiguity," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1173-1194, May.
    15. Faro, José Heleno, 2015. "Variational Bewley preferences," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 699-729.
    16. repec:ipg:wpaper:16 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Gilboa, Itzhak & Schmeidler, David, 1989. "Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 141-153, April.
    18. repec:dau:papers:123456789/5393 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J Sargent, 2014. "Robust Control and Model Uncertainty," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, chapter 5, pages 145-154, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    20. Eisei Ohtaki & Hiroyuki Ozaki, 2015. "Monetary equilibria and Knightian uncertainty," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 59(3), pages 435-459, August.
    21. Alain Chateauneuf & Luciano De Castro, 2011. "Ambiguity Aversion and Absence of Trade," Discussion Papers 1535, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science.
    22. repec:ipg:wpaper:2013-016 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Dolinsky, Yan & Nutz, Marcel & Soner, H. Mete, 2012. "Weak approximation of G-expectations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 122(2), pages 664-675.
    24. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    25. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11268 is not listed on IDEAS
    26. Rose-Anne Dana, 2004. "Ambiguity, uncertainty aversion and equilibrium welfare," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 23(3), pages 569-587, March.
    27. Charalambos D. Aliprantis & Kim C. Border, 2006. "Infinite Dimensional Analysis," Springer Books, Springer, edition 0, number 978-3-540-29587-7, November.
    28. Luca Rigotti & Chris Shannon & Tomasz Strzalecki, 2008. "Subjective Beliefs and ex ante Trade," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 76(5), pages 1167-1190, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ariel Neufeld & Antonis Papapantoleon & Qikun Xiang, 2023. "Model-Free Bounds for Multi-Asset Options Using Option-Implied Information and Their Exact Computation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(4), pages 2051-2068, April.
    2. Patrick Beissner, 2019. "Coherent-Price Systems and Uncertainty-Neutral Valuation," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-18, September.
    3. Ariel Neufeld & Antonis Papapantoleon & Qikun Xiang, 2020. "Model-free bounds for multi-asset options using option-implied information and their exact computation," Papers 2006.14288, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    4. Eisei Ohtaki, 2023. "Optimality in an OLG model with nonsmooth preferences," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 19(3), pages 611-659, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Eisei Ohtaki, 2023. "Optimality in an OLG model with nonsmooth preferences," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 19(3), pages 611-659, September.
    2. Beißner, Patrick, 2016. "Radner Equilibria under Ambiguous Volatility," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 493, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    3. Patrick Beissner & Frank Riedel, 2019. "Equilibria Under Knightian Price Uncertainty," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 87(1), pages 37-64, January.
    4. Jan Werner, 2021. "Participation in risk sharing under ambiguity," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 90(3), pages 507-519, May.
    5. Patrick Beissner & Frank Riedel, 2018. "Non-implementability of Arrow–Debreu equilibria by continuous trading under volatility uncertainty," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 603-620, July.
    6. Antoine Billot & Sujoy Mukerji & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2020. "Market Allocations under Ambiguity: A Survey," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 71(2), pages 267-282.
    7. Tian, Dejian & Tian, Weidong, 2014. "Optimal risk-sharing under mutually singular beliefs," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 41-49.
    8. Rose-Anne Dana & Cuong Le Van, 2009. "No-arbitrage, overlapping sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria in the presence of risk and ambiguity," Post-Print halshs-00281582, HAL.
    9. Rose-Anne Dana & Cuong Le Van, 2008. "No-arbitrage, overlapping sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria in the presence of risk and ambiguity," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b08039, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Nov 2009.
    10. Martins-da-Rocha, V. Filipe, 2010. "Interim efficiency with MEU-preferences," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 145(5), pages 1987-2017, September.
    11. Dana, R.A. & Le Van, C., 2010. "Overlapping risk adjusted sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria with short-selling," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 145(6), pages 2186-2202, November.
    12. König-Kersting, Christian & Kops, Christopher & Trautmann, Stefan T., 2023. "A test of (weak) certainty independence," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    13. Patrick Beissner & Frank Riedel, 2016. "Knight--Walras Equilibria," Papers 1605.04385, arXiv.org.
    14. Rose-Anne Dana & Cuong Le Van, 2010. "Overlapping risk adjusted sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria with short-selling," Post-Print halshs-00470670, HAL.
    15. Matteo Burzoni & Frank Riedel & H. Mete Soner, 2021. "Viability and Arbitrage Under Knightian Uncertainty," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(3), pages 1207-1234, May.
    16. Eisei Ohtaki & Hiroyuki Ozaki, 2014. "Optimality in a Stochastic OLG Model with Ambiguity," Working Papers e069, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    17. Patrick Beissner & Frank Riedel, 2014. "Non-Implementability of Arrow-Debreu Equilibria by Continuous Trading under Knightian Uncertainty," Papers 1409.6940, arXiv.org.
    18. Rose-Anne Dana & Cuong Le Van, 2010. "Overlapping risk adjusted sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria with short-selling," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-00470670, HAL.
    19. Strzalecki, Tomasz & Werner, Jan, 2011. "Efficient allocations under ambiguity," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1173-1194, May.
    20. Dana, Rose-Anne & Riedel, Frank, 2013. "Intertemporal equilibria with Knightian uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 148(4), pages 1582-1605.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Knightian uncertainty; Variational preferences; General equilibrium; Singular priors; Ambiguous volatility; Insurance under ambiguity; Equilibrium price systems;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • D50 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - General
    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:joecth:v:64:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s00199-016-0979-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.