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Preying on beauty? The complex social dynamics of overtourism

Author

Listed:
  • Angelo Antoci

    (University of Sassari)

  • Paolo Russu

    (University of Sassari)

  • Pier Luigi Sacco

    (IULM University Milan
    CHuB, FBK Foundation
    Harvard University, and metaLAB (at) Harvard)

  • Giorgio Tavano Blessi

    (IULM University Milan
    Free University of Bozen)

Abstract

Overtourism is an increasingly relevant problem for tourist destinations, and some cities are starting to take extreme measures to counter it. In this paper, we introduce a simple mathematical model that analyzes the dynamics of the populations of residents and tourists when there is a competition for the access to local services and resources, since the needs of the two populations are partly mutually incompatible. We study under what conditions a stable equilibrium where residents and tourists coexist is reached, and what are the conditions for tourists to take over the city and to expel residents, among others. Even small changes in key parameters may bring about very different outcomes. Policymakers should be aware that a sound knowledge of the structural properties of the dynamics is important when taking measures, whose effect could otherwise be different than expected and even counterproductive.

Suggested Citation

  • Angelo Antoci & Paolo Russu & Pier Luigi Sacco & Giorgio Tavano Blessi, 2022. "Preying on beauty? The complex social dynamics of overtourism," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(1), pages 379-400, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jeicoo:v:17:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s11403-020-00311-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11403-020-00311-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Overtourism; Tourist destinations; Congestion; Tourists versus residents; Nonlinear dynamics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • Z38 - Other Special Topics - - Tourism Economics - - - Policy

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