IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v139y2016i2d10.1007_s10584-016-1768-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Can we learn from the past? Four hundred years of changes in adaptation to floods and droughts. Measuring the vulnerability in two Hispanic cities

Author

Listed:
  • Salvador Gil-Guirado

    (University of Murcia)

  • José-Antonio Espín-Sánchez

    (Yale University)

  • María Rosario Prieto

    (Argentine Institute of Snow Research, Glaciology and Environmental Sciences (IANIGLA))

Abstract

In a context of increasingly severe weather disasters around the globe, planning strategies are critical. The study of vulnerability to climate risks reveals the failures of current social models to adapt to a changing environment due to heterogeneous cultural, economic, political and historical developments. Any discussion regarding vulnerability to climate risks requires knowing how societies have faced natural disasters in the past. We propose the Perceptual Index for Changes in Climate Risk (PICCR). The PICCR is an index that groups several social indicators into four factors that summarize the evolution of both vulnerability and adaptation to floods and droughts. We compute the evolution of the PICCR and its main factor in two similar medium-sized Hispanic cities (Murcia in Spain and Mendoza in Argentina) from the 17th century to the present time. The results show that, over the last four centuries, hazard perception has improved, vulnerability remains high and adaptation strategies have improved, but not as much as current technology allows.

Suggested Citation

  • Salvador Gil-Guirado & José-Antonio Espín-Sánchez & María Rosario Prieto, 2016. "Can we learn from the past? Four hundred years of changes in adaptation to floods and droughts. Measuring the vulnerability in two Hispanic cities," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 139(2), pages 183-200, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:139:y:2016:i:2:d:10.1007_s10584-016-1768-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1768-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-016-1768-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-016-1768-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Seung-Ki Min & Xuebin Zhang & Francis W. Zwiers & Gabriele C. Hegerl, 2011. "Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes," Nature, Nature, vol. 470(7334), pages 378-381, February.
    2. Marshall Burke & Solomon M. Hsiang & Edward Miguel, 2015. "Climate and Conflict," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 577-617, August.
    3. Quirin Schiermeier, 2011. "Increased flood risk linked to global warming," Nature, Nature, vol. 470(7334), pages 316-316, February.
    4. Solomon Hsiang & Marshall Burke, 2014. "Climate, conflict, and social stability: what does the evidence say?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 123(1), pages 39-55, March.
    5. María Prieto & Facundo Rojas, 2013. "Climate anomalies and epidemics in South America at the end of the Colonial Period," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 641-658, June.
    6. Patricio Aceituno & Maríadel Prieto & María Solari & Alejandra Martínez & Germán Poveda & Mark Falvey, 2009. "The 1877–1878 El Niño episode: associated impacts in South America," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 92(3), pages 389-416, February.
    7. Susan L. Cutter & Bryan J. Boruff & W. Lynn Shirley, 2003. "Social Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 84(2), pages 242-261, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Leonardsson, Hanna & Kronsell, Annica & Andersson, Erik & Burman, Anders & Blanes, Ruy & Da Costa, Karen & Hasselskog, Malin & Stepanova, Olga & Öjendal, Joakim, 2021. "Achieving peaceful climate change adaptation through transformative governance," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    2. Njuki, Eric, 2021. "Nonlinear weather and climate-induced effects on hired farm labor wages: Evidence from the U.S. Cornbelt," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 313959, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Nicolas Gatti & Kathy Baylis & Benjamin Crost, 2021. "Can Irrigation Infrastructure Mitigate the Effect of Rainfall Shocks on Conflict? Evidence from Indonesia," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(1), pages 211-231, January.
    4. Jetter, Michael & Mahmood, Rafat & Parmeter, Christopher F. & Ramirez Hassan, Andres, 2020. "Explaining Post-Cold-War Civil Conflict among 17 Billion Models: The Importance of History and Religion," IZA Discussion Papers 13511, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. François Gemenne & Jon Barnett & W. Adger & Geoffrey Dabelko, 2014. "Climate and security: evidence, emerging risks, and a new agenda," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 123(1), pages 1-9, March.
    6. Holtermann, Linus & Rische, Marie-Christin, 2020. "The Subnational Effect of Temperature on Economic Production: A Disaggregated Analysis in European Regions," MPRA Paper 104606, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Charles D. Kolstad & Frances C. Moore, 2019. "Estimating the Economic Impacts of Climate Change Using Weather Observations," NBER Working Papers 25537, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Stijn van Weezel, 2018. "Apocalypse now? - Climate change and war in Africa," Working Papers 201816, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    9. Crost, Benjamin & Duquennois, Claire & Felter, Joseph H. & Rees, Daniel I., 2018. "Climate change, agricultural production and civil conflict: Evidence from the Philippines," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 379-395.
    10. Tatyana Deryugina & Solomon Hsiang, 2017. "The Marginal Product of Climate," NBER Working Papers 24072, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. repec:bla:glopol:v:8:y:2017:i::p:33-39 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Kevin Sylwester, 2019. "Imperial Synchronicity in Eurasia: 300 BCE To 1500 CE," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 7(2), pages 59-73.
    13. Federica Cappelli, 2020. "Investigating the Origins of Differentiated Vulnerabilities to Climate Change and their Effects on Wellbeing," Working Papers 2020.21, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    14. Jouzi, Zeynab & Azadi, Hossein & Taheri, Fatemeh & Zarafshani, Kiumars & Gebrehiwot, Kindeya & Van Passel, Steven & Lebailly, Philippe, 2017. "Organic Farming and Small-Scale Farmers: Main Opportunities and Challenges," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 144-154.
    15. Stijn van Weezel, 2016. "Short term effects of drought on communal conflict in Nigeria," Working Papers 201618, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    16. Hubert, Nicolas, 2021. "The nature of peace: How environmental regulation can cause conflicts," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    17. Fujin Yi & Mengfei Zhou & Yu Yvette Zhang, 2020. "Value of Incorporating ENSO Forecast in Crop Insurance Programs," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 439-457, March.
    18. Basil Germond & Fong Wa Ha, 2019. "Climate change and maritime security narrative: the case of the international maritime organisation," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 9(1), pages 1-12, March.
    19. Kara Ross Camarena & Sarah Claudy & Jijun Wang & Austin L Wright, 2020. "Political and environmental risks influence migration and human smuggling across the Mediterranean Sea," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(7), pages 1-16, July.
    20. Stijn van Weezel, 2016. "Communal violence in the Horn of Africa following the 1998 El Niño," Working Papers 201617, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    21. H. Buhaug & J. Nordkvelle & T. Bernauer & T. Böhmelt & M. Brzoska & J. Busby & A. Ciccone & H. Fjelde & E. Gartzke & N. Gleditsch & J. Goldstone & H. Hegre & H. Holtermann & V. Koubi & J. Link & P. Li, 2014. "One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 127(3), pages 391-397, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:139:y:2016:i:2:d:10.1007_s10584-016-1768-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.